PnL all-time+$129kvol $3.27M
PnL 30d−$6.00gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.8%adj 62.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3.50cash n/a
Positions8 / 932open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.3%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$128kbelow peak −$505Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 62.8% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · Yesclosed+$12.8kIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? · Yesclosed+$8,167Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025? · Yesclosed+$4,459Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12? · Yesclosed+$4,061Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025? · Yesclosed+$3,135
Worst markets
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? · Yesclosed−$3,960More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30? · Yesclosed−$1,125Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,057Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October? · Noclosed−$846Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yesclosed−$689
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 4¢ | 0.4¢ | $3.50 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.4k | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4,270 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0? | Yes | 3,823 | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$321 | +$8.10 | |
| Sudan civil war ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 1,150 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$92 | −$137 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | Yes | 356 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$14 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 163 | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.93 | $0 | |
| Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31? | Yes | 11 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.93 | +$20 |
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