PnL all-time+$31.4kvol $834k
PnL 30d+$6,581gains $11.0k · losses $0
PnL 7d−$628win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.8%adj 74.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$60.3kcash n/a
Positions10 / 68open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$29.1kbelow peak −$2,071Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 82.8% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity43
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$5,750Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$4,860Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Noclosed+$3,496US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,123US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,744
Worst markets
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$4,178US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Noopen−$2,345Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed−$1,460Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed−$1,361Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? · Noclosed−$1,209
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 67.1k | 92¢ | 88.5¢ | $59.4k | −$2,345 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 801 | 77.9¢ | 79.5¢ | $637 | +$13 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | No | 250 | 79.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $224 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026? | No | 117 | 85.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $104 | +$3.54 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 5,200 | 80.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,178 | $0 | |
| UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) | Daniel Santos | 714 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | −$4.50 | |
| Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31? | No | 495 | 58.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$288 | $0 | |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | Conor McGregor | 278 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$6.06 | |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Yes | 7 | 98¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.83 | $0 | |
| UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Marco Tulio | 7 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 |
Recent trades
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