PnL all-time−$1,540vol $107k
PnL 30d−$3.35gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$40win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate44.1%adj 45.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$951cash n/a
Positions11 / 121open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,612below peak −$1,672Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.1% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yesclosed+$266Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yesclosed+$249Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yesopen+$241Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yesclosed+$185Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000? · Noclosed+$134
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? · Yesclosed−$523Will Daniel Radcliffe say "Harry Potter" on Hot Ones? · Yesclosed−$377Will "Ann Michael Maye" be said at the Super Bowl? · Noclosed−$314University of the Virgin Islands Buccaneers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (W) · Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsclosed−$294Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 · Overopen−$213
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | No | 734 | 56¢ | 52¢ | $382 | −$29 | $0 | |
| East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals | Lamar Cardinals | 305 | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | $305 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | 202 | 69¢ | 100¢ | $202 | +$63 | +$4.86 | |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? | Yes | 33 | 42¢ | 100¢ | $33 | +$19 | +$222 | |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls | Michigan State Spartans | 50 | 52¢ | 50¢ | $25 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | Yes | 213 | 12¢ | 2.2¢ | $4.58 | −$21 | +$0.65 | |
| Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 | Over | 545 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$213 | $0 | |
| Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) | Al Najmah Saudi Club | 351 | 26.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000? | No | 257 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 220 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$196 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February? | Yes | 19 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.43 | +$3.60 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s