sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,307

Eurospar

0x1a4…846f@Memes_n_Stickrs
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$151kvol $3.19M
PnL 30d+$2.40gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.90win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.3%adj 57.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$56cash n/a
Positions45 / 177open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.3%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$152kbelow peak −$3,171Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 58.3% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Noclosed+$64.6kMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8? · Yesclosed+$48.5kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? · Noclosed+$20.5kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28? · Noclosed+$18.8kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$13.8k

Worst markets

Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yesopen−$14.7kOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Noopen−$11.8kWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · Noopen−$8,951Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? · Yesclosed−$5,540Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? · Noopen−$4,632

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No6048¢94¢$56+$28$0
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No123k11.2¢0¢$0−$13.7k+$1,934
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?No32.6k14.2¢0¢$0−$4,632$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? Yes30.0k1.3¢0¢$0−$400$0
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes25.0k3.8¢0¢$0−$950−$13.7k
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No24.4k35.5¢0¢$0−$8,666−$285
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes15.0k4.7¢0¢$0−$709−$59
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?No10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes10.0k5.9¢0¢$0−$593$0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Yes9,7522¢0¢$0−$195$0
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes8,68220¢0¢$0−$1,736−$1,867
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No7,80032.6¢0¢$0−$2,540$0
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes6,0002.8¢0¢$0−$167−$146
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?No5,7102.7¢0¢$0−$154$0
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?No5,6691¢0¢$0−$59$0
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes5,5371.5¢0¢$0−$83−$0.01
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes5,0003¢0¢$0−$150$0
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes4,70214.4¢0¢$0−$677−$1.52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes4,5001.8¢0¢$0−$81+$1,731
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes4,4511.7¢0¢$0−$74$0
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No4,33417.4¢0¢$0−$755−$3,304
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp3,1142.2¢0¢$0−$69$0
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes2,8356.7¢0¢$0−$189$0
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes2,80019.1¢0¢$0−$536+$59
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes2,7653.8¢0¢$0−$105−$0.14
No airdrop in 2025?Yes2,27828.9¢0¢$0−$658$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes2,0006.2¢0¢$0−$124$0
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes1,1113.7¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes1,10014.8¢0¢$0−$163−$80
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes1,10011¢0¢$0−$121$0
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?No9401.4¢0¢$0−$13$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown6950.9¢0¢$0−$6.26$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp6002.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown5002¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes1115.4¢0¢$0−$6.05−$123
US government shutdown Saturday?No10023¢0¢$0−$23+$150
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes10013¢0¢$0−$13+$1,003
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes9645.6¢0¢$0−$44+$84
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes6210.9¢0¢$0−$6.76−$59
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes544.5¢0¢$0−$2.41−$56
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp2834.8¢0¢$0−$9.65$0
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No1555.3¢0¢$0−$8.30−$1.23
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes1020.5¢0¢$0−$2.05−$93
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp1038.5¢0¢$0−$3.80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp570.8¢0¢$0−$3.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?99.9¢21.0k$21.0k58%55Whale
BUY NoWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?98.8¢11.0k$10.9k58%55Whale
BUY NoWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?98.5¢10.0k$9,85558%55
BUY NoWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?98.6¢5$4.9358%55
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?99.1¢22$2258%55
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?99.1¢15$1558%55
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?99.1¢100$9958%55
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?99.1¢100$9958%55
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?99.1¢100$9958%55
BUY YesMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?95¢6,259$5,94658%55
BUY YesMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?93¢10.0k$9,33458%55
BUY YesMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?86.9¢1,550$1,34758%55
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?58.2¢406$23658%55
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?59.5¢94$5658%55
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?30.3¢1,000$30358%55
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?30.9¢1,000$30958%55
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?28.1¢1,000$28158%55
SELL NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?36.3¢1,508$54858%55
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?21¢1,508$31758%55
SELL YesMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?99.9¢50.0k$50.0k58%55Whale