PnL all-time−$186vol $6,432
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 62.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$802cash n/a
Positions8 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.7%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$186below peak −$211Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? · Yesopen+$22US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yesopen+$15Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? · Noclosed+$10Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yesopen+$7.43Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$5.75
Worst markets
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? · Yesclosed−$156US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yesopen−$51US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yesclosed−$26US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yesclosed−$25Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? · Yesopen−$7.53
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? | Yes | 300 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 248 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $248 | +$7.43 | $0 | |
| Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 200 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$22 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 55 | 73¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$15 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Yes | 2,140 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025? | No | 30 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.74 | $0 | |
| Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? | Yes | 12 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.93 | −$0.60 | |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | Down | 10 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.10 | $0 |
Recent trades
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