PnL all-time+$808kvol $47.4M
PnL 30d−$342gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$140win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.1%adj 83.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$19.7kcash n/a
Positions275 / 579open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$810kbelow peak −$1.60MOct 10
SharpScore inputs
60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale84
Adjusted win rateraw 85.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 100
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 20.0k | 84¢ | 97¢ | $19.4k | +$2,590 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.0k | 10¢ | 1.1¢ | $105 | −$895 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.0k | 14¢ | 0.9¢ | $85 | −$1,315 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,000 | 20¢ | 1.6¢ | $62 | −$738 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 741 | 26¢ | 5.5¢ | $41 | −$152 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,115 | 3.8¢ | 0.5¢ | $34 | −$199 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 975 | 20¢ | 2.7¢ | $26 | −$169 | $0 | |
| Celtics vs. Suns | Suns | 541k | 34.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$187k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Lakers | 525k | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88.5k | $0 | |
| Kings vs. Celtics | Kings | 492k | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94.9k | $0 | |
| Raptors vs. Jazz | Jazz | 480k | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$91.2k | $0 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | Timberwolves | 440k | 70.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$312k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 432k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38.8k | $0 | |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 380k | 25.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$95.5k | $0 | |
| Celtics vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 373k | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Clippers | 364k | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93.8k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 355k | 31.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Bucks | Bucks | 350k | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24.5k | $0 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Warriors | 342k | 33.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115k | $0 | |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Patriots | 318k | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161k | $0 | |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Hornets | 308k | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$194k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Warriors | 300k | 33.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101k | $0 | |
| Rockets vs. Heat | Rockets | 300k | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$168k | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Nuggets | 279k | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85.8k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Kings | Kings | 275k | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35.7k | $0 | |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 264k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,093 | $0 | |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Nets | 259k | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22.4k | $0 | |
| Bucks vs. Hawks | Bucks | 257k | 19.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49.8k | $0 | |
| Jazz vs. Raptors | Jazz | 252k | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.2k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Warriors | 249k | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30.0k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Pacers | 234k | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53.4k | $0 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nets | Nets | 230k | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43.4k | $0 | |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Rockets | 229k | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$68.7k | $0 | |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Jazz | 228k | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31.1k | $0 | |
| 76ers vs. Kings | Kings | 221k | 43¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94.8k | $0 | |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Jazz | 208k | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93.7k | $0 | |
| Spread: Pistons (-16.5) | Pistons | 200k | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101k | $0 | |
| Knicks vs. Wizards | Wizards | 200k | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5) | Trail Blazers | 200k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104k | $0 | |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 200k | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$92.0k | $0 | |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Hornets | 200k | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66.0k | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | Yes | 200k | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,099 | $0 | |
| Magic vs. Bucks | Bucks | 200k | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$72.0k | $0 | |
| Warriors vs. Pelicans | Warriors | 200k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Bulls | Bulls | 200k | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46.0k | $0 | |
| Hornets vs. Nets | Nets | 197k | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.1k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets | Pelicans | 193k | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61.6k | $0 | |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Wizards | 191k | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21.0k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Jazz | 180k | 32.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58.4k | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Cavaliers | Nets | 174k | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.0k | $0 | |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Hawks | 171k | 31.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53.5k | $0 | |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 169k | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25.3k | $0 | |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Lakers | 168k | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82.3k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Kings | 165k | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57.5k | $0 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers | Trail Blazers | 163k | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$124k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Kings | 162k | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61.0k | $0 | |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Bucks | 157k | 32.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50.9k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Thunder | 157k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,566 | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | Raptors | 155k | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45.3k | $0 | |
| Cavaliers vs. Kings | Kings | 150k | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.5k | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Jazz | Jazz | 150k | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87.0k | $0 | |
| Hornets vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 150k | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63.0k | $0 | |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Rams | 150k | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66.0k | $0 | |
| Pistons vs. Knicks | Knicks | 149k | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87.9k | $0 | |
| Spread: Hornets (-13.5) | Hornets | 140k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$72.8k | $0 | |
| Pacers vs. Spurs | Pacers | 139k | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.7k | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Thunder | Nets | 134k | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.8k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Kings | 133k | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18.7k | $0 | |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Suns | 130k | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37.7k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Pelicans | 130k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.5k | $0 | |
| Bulls vs. Grizzlies | Bulls | 128k | 64.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82.2k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers | Pelicans | 126k | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.8k | $0 | |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 124k | 46.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58.0k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | Clippers | 122k | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38.8k | $0 | |
| Raptors vs. Rockets | Raptors | 120k | 36.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43.4k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Pelicans | 120k | 21.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26.2k | $0 | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Nuggets | 119k | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57.1k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 117k | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37.0k | $0 | |
| Jazz vs. Hawks | Jazz | 117k | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32.6k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Bucks | Bucks | 115k | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.5k | $0 | |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 115k | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36.2k | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Nets | 110k | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.6k | $0 | |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) | Nets | 110k | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.8k | $0 | |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) | 76ers | 110k | 47.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.4k | $0 | |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Suns | 110k | 38.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42.3k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Suns | 109k | 28.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31.4k | $0 | |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 109k | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.3k | $0 | |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Wizards | 109k | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18.4k | $0 | |
| Suns vs. Kings | Kings | 106k | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23.4k | $0 | |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Bulls | 106k | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21.2k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 106k | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30.7k | $0 | |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Pacers | 103k | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.4k | $0 | |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Magic | 100k | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42.0k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Clippers | 100k | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27.0k | $0 | |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 100k | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Clippers (-7.5) | Clippers | 100.0k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50.0k | $0 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Timberwolves | 100.0k | 85¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85.0k | $0 | |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Suns | 100.0k | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40.0k | $0 | |
| Nets vs. Knicks | Nets | 100.0k | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.0k | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | Yes | 100.0k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | $0 |
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