PnL all-time−$50vol $18.4k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.9%adj 53.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$935cash n/a
Positions9 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.7%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$50below peak −$51Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.9% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? · Yesopen+$255Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? · Yesopen+$241Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$38Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? · Yesopen+$23Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$12
Worst markets
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? · Yesopen−$497Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? · Noopen−$85Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? · Noopen−$24Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? · Noopen−$8.86Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$6.83
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 576 | 75.3¢ | 100¢ | $576 | +$142 | +$99 | |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 262 | 77.6¢ | 100¢ | $262 | +$59 | +$196 | |
| Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi in April 2026? | No | 59 | 92¢ | 100¢ | $59 | +$4.72 | $0 | |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 38 | 39.4¢ | 100¢ | $38 | +$23 | $0 |
Recent trades
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