sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,973

7Rufus-Muddle

0x1c0…1720
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$72vol $82.6k
PnL 30d+$6.57gains $6.25 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.76win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.1%adj 78.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$781cash n/a
Positions1 / 68open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.7%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 27m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$153below peak −$373Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 87.1% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 1

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No78699.3¢99.4¢$781+$0.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?99.4¢243$24287%52
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?99.3¢155$15487%52
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?99.2¢91$9087%52
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?99.2¢60$6087%52
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?99.2¢237$23587%52
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?99.9¢757$75687%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?99.9¢240$24087%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 22?99.9¢141$14187%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 22?99.9¢145$14587%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?99.9¢253$25387%52
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?99.9¢778$77787%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on September 17?99.9¢195$19587%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 16?99.9¢584$58387%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 14?99.8¢101$10187%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 14?99.8¢311$31087%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 14?99.9¢110$11087%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 14?99.8¢38$3887%52
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on September 14?99.9¢153$15387%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 14?97¢26$2587%52
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 14?96¢38$3787%52