sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,064

Avvnnnn

0x1c1…45e9
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$35.3kvol $25.3M
PnL 30d+$26.1kgains $26.2k · losses $0.25
PnL 7d−$3.75win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.3%adj 56.0% · 30d 19.4%
Open value$48cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 11,408open / all-time
Max drawdown−82.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 18d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$37.2kbelow peak −$24.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 56.3% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d37
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity18

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢1.4¢$1.69+$0.76$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.7¢$0.81−$0.11$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.34$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.34$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.34$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.34$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.34$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.34$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.5¢$0.69−$0.24$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.5¢$0.63−$0.30$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.4¢$0.60−$0.49$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.3¢$0.37−$0.72$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.1¢$0.25−$2.84$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.1¢$0.25−$2.84$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5030.6¢0.1¢$0.25−$2.84$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.2¢$0.22−$0.86$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.2¢$0.22−$0.86$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.2¢$0.19−$0.74$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$1.01$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$1.01$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$1.01$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1490.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$1.01$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1250.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.86$0
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?Yes16.0k2.6¢0¢$0−$421−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7PM ETUp16.0k49¢0¢$0−$7,840$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up6,00755¢0¢$0−$3,304$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ETUp5,00051¢0¢$0−$2,550$0
Will "T1" or "Trump mobile" or "Trump phone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes3870.1¢0¢$0−$0.39$0
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2471.6¢0¢$0−$3.91$0
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2160¢0¢$0$0−$0.44
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes1130.1¢0¢$0−$0.11$0
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?Yes1120.1¢0¢$0−$0.11$0
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?Yes1090.1¢0¢$0−$0.11$0
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1050.1¢0¢$0−$0.11$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?Yes1040.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes1040.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?Yes1030.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?Yes1030.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?Yes1000.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be less than 1,600,000?Yes1000.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?Yes1000.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes970.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 - 8 be between 13,750,000 and 14,000,000?Yes970.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No920.1¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will Partido Popular win 37+ seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?Yes920.1¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will the Conservative Party of Japan be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes900.1¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will "Billie Eilish" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?Yes880.1¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?No880.1¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be greater than 2,400,000?Yes820.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 220 and 234 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?Yes770.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 190 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?Yes770.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes761.7¢0¢$0−$1.26−$2.31
Will the Social Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?Yes760.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes750.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will Team Mirai loose any seats in Japanese snap election?Yes750.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win 190 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?Yes750.1¢0¢$0−$0.08$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be greater than 2,800,000?Yes750.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?No750.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be less than 2,000,000?Yes740.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?Yes740.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 50% and 52%?Yes730.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will "HUGs" by Paledusk (Gachiakuta) win Best Anime Opening Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Yes730.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will Gono Odhikar Parishad finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes730.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will "THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes730.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?Yes730.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?Yes720.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes720.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?0.7¢8$0.0656%49
SELL Nerve of CowCounter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season2¢22$0.4456%49
BUYSwedish Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino AND Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu AND PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun AND Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanuki AND Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival4.2¢250$1056%49
SELL YesWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.7¢149$1.0456%49
SELL YesWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.7¢149$1.0456%49
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?98.9¢2,400$2,37456%49
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0.3¢100$0.3056%49
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0.7¢100$0.7056%49
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?3.8¢100$3.8056%49
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0.4¢100$0.4056%49
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?95¢100$9556%49
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?0.1¢528k$52856%49
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?99.9¢1,750$1,74856%49
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?0.1¢1.36M$1,36056%49
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?0.1¢1.23M$1,23556%49
SELL YesWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢76$0.0856%49
SELL YesWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.2¢51$0.1056%49
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?15.3¢51$7.8056%49
SELL YesWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?6.9¢25$1.7356%49
SELL YesWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.8¢25$0.2056%49