sharpside
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Traders/Rank #15,755

Mr.we4ther

0x1c2…a9c7
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+<30d oldWeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$192vol $25.0k
PnL 30d−$219gains $298 · losses $489
PnL 7d+$66win rate 7d 98.5%
Win rate98.3%adj 96.4% · 30d 98.3%
Open value$1,988cash n/a
Positions53 / 537open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.6%of equity peak
Account age28dlast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$195below peak −$283Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 98.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 53

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No17097.2¢99.5¢$169+$3.84$0
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No16098.9¢99.2¢$159+$0.46$0
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No10999¢99.2¢$108+$0.22$0
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No11098.6¢97.7¢$108−$1.03$0
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No9098.7¢96.6¢$87−$1.95$0
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No8099¢99.5¢$80+$0.36$0
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No8099¢97.9¢$78−$0.88$0
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No8098.3¢97.7¢$78−$0.50+$0.28
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No7098.7¢99.5¢$70+$0.52$0
Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No6098.9¢99.5¢$60+$0.31$0
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No6099¢99.5¢$60+$0.27$0
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No6099¢99.5¢$60+$0.27$0
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No5898.1¢99.5¢$57+$0.78$0
Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No5099¢99.7¢$50+$0.33$0
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No5099¢99.5¢$50+$0.25$0
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No5099¢99.4¢$50+$0.20$0
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No5099¢99.4¢$50+$0.20$0
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No5097.8¢99.4¢$50+$0.78$0
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No4099¢98.4¢$39−$0.26$0
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No4099¢98.2¢$39−$0.32$0
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 13?Yes3099¢100¢$30+$0.28$0
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No3099¢99.5¢$30+$0.15$0
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No3091¢99.5¢$30+$2.55$0
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No3099¢99.5¢$30+$0.14$0
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No3099¢99.4¢$30+$0.12$0
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No3098.7¢98.9¢$30+$0.07$0
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on October 13?No4099¢51.4¢$21−$19$0
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No2090¢99.5¢$20+$1.90$0
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No2094¢99.5¢$20+$1.10$0
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No2091¢97.4¢$19+$1.28$0
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?No3597.4¢53.5¢$19−$15$0
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 13?No1598¢89.5¢$13−$1.27$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 13?No2098.5¢52.5¢$11−$9.20$0
Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢100¢$9.99+$0.10$0
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.6¢$9.96+$0.06$0
Will White House post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.6¢$9.96+$0.06$0
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.6¢$9.96+$0.06$0
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.6¢$9.96+$0.06$0
Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.05$0
Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No1099¢99.5¢$9.95+$0.04$0
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No999¢99.5¢$9.44+$0.04$0
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No999¢99.5¢$9.44+$0.04$0
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No999¢97.2¢$9.22−$0.18$0
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on October 13?No1099¢55¢$5.50−$4.40$0
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on October 13?No598¢56¢$2.80−$2.10$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 14?99¢28$2798%61
BUY NoWill NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?99.1¢40$4098%61
BUY NoWill NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?99¢49$4998%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?98¢5$4.9098%61
SELL NoWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?99.8¢140$14098%61
SELL NoWill Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?99.9¢10$9.9998%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?98¢5$4.9098%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?98¢5$4.9098%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?98¢5$4.9098%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?97¢5$4.8598%61
BUY NoWill Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?99¢9$9.4098%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?97¢5$4.8598%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?97¢5$4.8598%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 14?97¢5$4.8598%61
BUY NoWill Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?99¢80$7998%61
BUY NoWill CZ post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?99¢9$9.4098%61
BUY NoWill Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?98.7¢40$4098%61
BUY NoWill Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?98.9¢20$2098%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on October 13?99¢5$4.9598%61
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 13?99¢10$9.9098%61