PnL all-time+$213kvol $7.73M
PnL 30d+$413gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$749win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$40.6kcash n/a
Positions6 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.5%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 6d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$214kbelow peak −$32.4kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 58.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$98.7kWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$38.3kWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? · Yesclosed+$38.0kWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$33.9kUS military action against Iran before July? · Yesclosed+$12.4k
Worst markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yesclosed−$34.8kWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed−$14.7kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$8,175Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? · Yesclosed−$5,553Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Noopen−$4,876
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 50.0k | 63¢ | 62.5¢ | $31.2k | −$250 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 130k | 4.7¢ | 5.9¢ | $7,751 | +$1,611 | −$310 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3,900 | 44.3¢ | 41.3¢ | $1,609 | −$119 | $0 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 20.0k | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,832 | −$1,044 | |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | No | 15.0k | 29.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,450 | $0 | |
| Will the government shutdown end November 14? | Yes | 10.2k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122 | $0 |
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