sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,260

sollydisa

0x1c7…c23e
PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,983vol $283k
PnL 30d+$6,449gains $5,463 · losses $1,842
PnL 7d+$1,991win rate 7d 59.6%
Win rate54.8%adj 54.1% · 30d 53.5%
Open value$10.0kcash n/a
Positions44 / 170open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.6%of equity peak
Account age35dlast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,789below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 54.8% · shrunk toward 50%35
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes6,00054.1¢50.4¢$3,027−$221+$1,352
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No5,00025.7¢23.1¢$1,155−$132−$8.77
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes1,60020.3¢23.5¢$376+$51$0
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes60052.1¢61¢$366+$54$0
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes3,5519.3¢9.5¢$337+$6.78$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes1,33120.5¢25.1¢$333+$61+$173
Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election?Yes1,29910.8¢24.4¢$317+$176$0
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes44060.1¢71.5¢$315+$50$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No50062¢62.5¢$313+$2.50+$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?No2,9107.7¢10.5¢$306+$83$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes70.0k0.2¢0.4¢$280+$140$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No50051.8¢50.5¢$253−$6.50+$126
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No1,00024¢25¢$250+$10$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?No1,00018.8¢22.5¢$225+$37$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?No26066¢80¢$208+$36$0
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes33468.9¢61¢$204−$26$0
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Yes1,47911.3¢13¢$192+$25$0
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No33342.5¢48.5¢$161+$20+$27
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes66026¢22.5¢$149−$23−$2.27
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?No26759.5¢52¢$139−$20$0
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No20062.2¢63.5¢$127+$2.55$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes12.2k0.5¢1¢$116+$50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes50023¢22.5¢$113−$2.50$0
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?Kansas12961¢87¢$112+$34$0
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes54617.2¢18¢$98+$4.49$0
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes13526¢65¢$88+$53$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?No30026¢28.5¢$86+$7.50$0
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?Yes10060¢84.5¢$85+$25$0
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes29012.1¢29¢$84+$49+$23
Closer Governor Race: California or New York?New York6366.1¢78.5¢$49+$7.78$0
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?No12620¢38.5¢$49+$23$0
Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?No4080¢86.8¢$35+$2.70$0
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No4654¢67.5¢$31+$6.22$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?Yes2362¢7.2¢$17+$12$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?Yes1155.8¢9¢$10+$3.66$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%?Yes1553.5¢5.5¢$8.53+$3.08$0
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes6110¢12.9¢$7.87+$1.77$0
Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes8038.5¢0¢$0−$69−$0.61
Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes30515.7¢0¢$0−$48−$1.61
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?Yes8825.3¢0¢$0−$22−$0.67
Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes6518¢0¢$0−$12+$15
Will the Green Party candidate win 20-25% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes608¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
Will the Green Party candidate win 25-30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes4017¢0¢$0−$6.88$0
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?Yes1428¢0¢$0−$3.81$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?52.1¢600$31255%64
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?37¢1,008$37355%64
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?22.3¢600$13455%64
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?49.3¢203$10055%64
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?51.8¢2,000$1,03655%64
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?52¢1,000$52055%64
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?26.2¢4,000$1,04955%64
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?24.6¢1,766$43455%64
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?52¢1,000$52055%64
BUY NoWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?51.8¢500$25955%64
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?48¢630$30355%64
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?25¢956$23955%64
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?57¢800$45655%64
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?28.5¢1,332$38055%64
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?62¢500$31055%64
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?50¢130$6555%64
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?49¢500$24555%64
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?20.3¢1,600$32555%64
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?20.1¢3,098$62455%64
BUY NoWill John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?62.2¢200$12455%64