PnL all-time+$364kvol $2.51M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions7 / 15open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.6%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$364kbelow peak −$132kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable39
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yesopen−$78.8kWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yesopen−$20.0kUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yesclosed−$13.5kWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yesopen−$10.6kWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? · Yesopen−$9,601
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 590k | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 298k | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.6k | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 72.4k | 27.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.0k | $0 | |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 50.0k | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,000 | $0 | |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | Yes | 18.3k | 52.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,601 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 13.7k | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,801 | $0 | |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks | Vanderbilt Commodores | 8,890 | 56.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 | $0 |
Recent trades
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