sharpside
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Traders/Rank #155

Wickier

0x1cc…b8df
SharpPnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.15Mvol $23.9M
PnL 30d+$12.7kgains $11.7k · losses $4,639
PnL 7d+$12win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.8%adj 63.3% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$9,044cash n/a
Positions52 / 993open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.1%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.24Mbelow peak −$53.8kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale87
Adjusted win rateraw 63.8% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 52

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No5,99676.3¢83.5¢$5,006+$435+$128
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes8,58624.6¢31¢$2,662+$553$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No88755.1¢67.5¢$599+$110$0
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes1,64017¢20.5¢$336+$57$0
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No41738.2¢53¢$221+$62$0
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes16153¢73.5¢$118+$33$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes22.6k2.2¢0.5¢$102−$405$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes839k16.1¢0¢$0−$135k+$10.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes376k7.9¢0¢$0−$29.9k$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes305k12.2¢0¢$0−$37.2k+$9,836
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes244k13¢0¢$0−$31.8k−$18.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes219k3.5¢0¢$0−$7,565$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes199k4.6¢0¢$0−$9,170$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes197k8.8¢0¢$0−$17.3k−$465
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes151k5¢0¢$0−$7,570+$0.71
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes150k6¢0¢$0−$8,947$0
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No141k5.5¢0¢$0−$7,791−$6,082
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes113k6.8¢0¢$0−$7,716$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes108k19.3¢0¢$0−$20.9k$0
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$159−$0.02
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$159−$0.02
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$159−$0.02
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$159−$0.02
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$159−$0.02
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$159−$0.02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No82.0k10.5¢0¢$0−$8,576$0
Spread: England (-1.5)England77.3k15.7¢0¢$0−$12.2k−$115
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes61.2k9.8¢0¢$0−$5,995$0
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes54.5k0.2¢0¢$0−$86+$808
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes54.4k48¢0¢$0−$26.1k$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes50.8k41.9¢0¢$0−$21.3k$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes32.7k7.1¢0¢$0−$2,318$0
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes29.6k9.5¢0¢$0−$2,822−$112
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes25.6k71.9¢0¢$0−$18.4k−$258
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes22.4k2.9¢0¢$0−$640$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes21.8k15¢0¢$0−$3,262+$953
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes20.0k3.9¢0¢$0−$780$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes17.7k44.3¢0¢$0−$7,843$0
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes11.9k45.9¢0¢$0−$5,465−$143
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes10.0k6¢0¢$0−$600$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes10,0002.5¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Yes8,7453.8¢0¢$0−$333$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No5,76919.8¢0¢$0−$1,145+$113
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No5,22265¢0¢$0−$3,396−$19
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes2,45622.5¢0¢$0−$554−$19
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No2,42149.8¢0¢$0−$1,207−$24
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No1,93035.3¢0¢$0−$682$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Yes75418.3¢0¢$0−$138−$5.58
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Yes75111.1¢0¢$0−$84−$0.51
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.32+$1,271
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No8359.4¢0¢$0−$50+$646
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes1010¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?25.1¢3,541$88864%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?53¢161$8564%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?62¢298$18564%71Sharp
BUY NoWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?49.8¢2,421$1,20764%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?20.4¢508$10464%71Sharp
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?66¢8,931$5,89564%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?13.8¢245$3464%71Sharp
BUY NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?69.3¢20.3k$14.0k64%71WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?34¢200$6864%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?30¢2,530$75964%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?22.1¢5,300$1,16964%71Sharp
SELL YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?10¢115k$11.5k64%71WhaleSharp
BUY YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?12¢103$1264%71Sharp
BUY YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?11¢20$2.2064%71Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?32.6¢2,720$88764%71Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?30.3¢1,242$37664%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.4¢12.6k$30764%71Sharp
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?13.8¢14.7k$2,03664%71Sharp
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?10.6¢60.0k$6,37964%71Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?3.9¢21.9k$85264%71Sharp