PnL all-time+$22.2kvol $2.70M
PnL 30d+$591gains $96 · losses $452
PnL 7d+$1,995win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate46.2%adj 46.7% · 30d 42.9%
Open value$189kcash n/a
Positions5 / 136open / all-time
Max drawdown−61.4%of equity peak
Account age5.9ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$27.7kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 46.2% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity39
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$9,626Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$2,085Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yesclosed−$726Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech? · Yesclosed−$544Will Andrew Cuomo say "Next mayor" during his victory/concession speech? · Yesclosed−$309
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 133k | 99¢ | 98.8¢ | $132k | −$262 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 58.5k | 88.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $57.2k | +$5,365 | +$9.06 | |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | Yes | 345 | 29¢ | 29.5¢ | $102 | +$1.72 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 263 | 38¢ | 28.5¢ | $75 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 14 | 91.5¢ | 96.6¢ | $14 | +$0.73 | +$61 |
Recent trades
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