sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

qianyi2026

0x1cf…6ca1
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$36vol $396k
PnL 30d+$1,568gains $3,789 · losses $536
PnL 7d−$16win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate82.0%adj 80.8% · 30d 75.3%
Open value$5,888cash n/a
Positions78 / 782open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.5%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,920below peak −$1,526Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale22
Adjusted win rateraw 82.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity3

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 78

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes91030.4¢88.5¢$805+$529−$108
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes61071.5¢89.5¢$546+$110+$46
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?No52788.4¢94.5¢$498+$32$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes60328¢82¢$495+$325$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes63970.7¢76¢$486+$34+$0.65
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes40476.4¢84.5¢$342+$33$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No35062.6¢90¢$315+$96$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes40023.1¢63.5¢$254+$162$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No25091¢93.5¢$234+$6.25$0
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?No23390.4¢98.2¢$229+$18+$11
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?No20791.1¢97.7¢$202+$14+$6.51
Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?No12392.2¢93.2¢$114+$1.21$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes13183¢87¢$114+$5.24$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes37846.4¢26.5¢$100−$75−$4.20
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes13148.3¢74.5¢$98+$34$0
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?No9789.4¢97.5¢$95+$7.83$0
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?No9590¢98¢$93+$7.55$0
Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?No8592.3¢99.3¢$84+$5.90+$3.08
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No8295.8¢97.8¢$80+$1.62$0
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?No8088¢94.5¢$76+$5.23+$1.72
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes10556.1¢71.5¢$75+$16+$43
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes90758.8¢8¢$73−$461$0
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes10315.1¢65¢$67+$52$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes60255.7¢11.1¢$66−$268−$1.38
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?No6883.6¢86.5¢$59+$1.99$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes80012.9¢6.5¢$52−$51$0
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?No5590.6¢93.9¢$52+$1.81$0
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?No4989.7¢97¢$48+$3.58+$1.01
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?No3495.1¢97.9¢$33+$0.94+$11
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes44521.7¢7¢$31−$65$0
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes10325.2¢23.5¢$24−$1.72$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes1304.9¢9.9¢$13+$6.49$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes2026¢63.5¢$13+$7.50$0
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes10332¢9¢$9.25−$24$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes4037.5¢13¢$5.20−$9.80$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes2026¢22¢$4.40−$0.80$0
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes1250.6¢1.9¢$2.31+$1.57−$0.19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes10535.1¢1.7¢$1.73−$35−$38
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes10315.1¢0.2¢$0.15−$15$0
Will SpaceXAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes761.2¢0.2¢$0.11−$0.79$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes1,65925.7¢0¢$0−$427−$11
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes1,49372.5¢0¢$0−$1,082−$11
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes1,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.08
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes1,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No1,00021.9¢0¢$0−$219−$1,004
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes8000.3¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.10
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes6790.7¢0¢$0−$4.60−$0.18
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes56182.2¢0¢$0−$461−$127
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes41416.7¢0¢$0−$69+$11
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes38447.4¢0¢$0−$182+$19
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes32819.1¢0¢$0−$63−$1.96
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes32523.1¢0¢$0−$75−$7.94
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes28036.3¢0¢$0−$102−$2.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20?Yes2690.4¢0¢$0−$1.07−$0.07
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes23212¢0¢$0−$28−$0.97
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 13?No20095.5¢0¢$0−$191−$0.35
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes17980.9¢0¢$0−$145−$9.70
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes15668¢0¢$0−$106−$27
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?Yes13018¢0¢$0−$23−$0.77
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes12032¢0¢$0−$38−$1.04
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes12018.5¢0¢$0−$22−$0.72
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes1045.4¢0¢$0−$5.58−$52
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 August 3-9?No1003¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No7254.2¢0¢$0−$39−$0.72
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?Yes721.4¢0¢$0−$1.01+$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24?No6385¢0¢$0−$54−$2.74
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 20-26?No3631¢0¢$0−$11−$0.54
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No3211.5¢0¢$0−$3.69−$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 3?No2028¢0¢$0−$5.60$0
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown193¢0¢$0−$0.56−$0.04
Will England win on 2026-07-05?No1661¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.12
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of July 20 2026?No1155¢0¢$0−$6.11−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?Yes1061¢0¢$0−$6.10−$0.12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No1099¢0¢$0−$9.90−$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 20?No1089¢0¢$0−$8.90−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6?No668¢0¢$0−$4.08−$0.07
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes671.5¢0¢$0−$3.95−$70
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of July?No592.5¢0¢$0−$4.63$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?86¢10$8.6482%55
SELL NoWill Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?99.3¢20$2082%55
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?48.3¢90$4482%55
SELL NoWill Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?98.3¢1$1.0582%55
SELL NoWill Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?96.9¢16$1682%55
SELL NoWill Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?95.3¢40$3882%55
SELL YesWill Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?31¢24$7.5782%55
SELL NoWill Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?90.6¢75$6882%55
SELL NoWill Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?97.4¢40$3982%55
SELL NoWill Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?94.7¢80$7582%55
SELL NoWill OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?86¢12$9.9882%55
SELL NoWill OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?88.6¢337$29882%55
SELL NoWill Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?94.9¢131$12482%55
SELL NoWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?93.9¢278$26182%55
SELL NoWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?86.7¢51$4482%55
SELL NoWill MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?99.3¢12$1282%55
SELL NoWill Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?99.3¢41$4182%55
SELL NoWill Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?98.1¢62$6082%55
SELL NoWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?98.8¢94$9282%55
SELL NoWill ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?96.8¢112$10982%55