sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

AhghastBog

0x1d1…3c2f
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.0kvol $1.60M
PnL 30d−$121gains $21.6k · losses $4,242
PnL 7d−$807win rate 7d 82.5%
Win rate85.4%adj 84.0% · 30d 82.7%
Open value$6,133cash n/a
Positions317 / 1,175open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.1%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 20h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.8kbelow peak −$15.7kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 85.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No3,36070.6¢79.5¢$2,671+$299+$60
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1,26950.7¢62.5¢$793+$150$0
Will Sam Darnold have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2,16938.1¢21.5¢$466−$361+$16
Will A.J. Brown have 1,324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No40273¢96.7¢$389+$95+$9.20
Will Caleb Williams have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No36072.2¢90.9¢$327+$67$0
Will Sam Darnold have 3,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No38053¢75¢$285+$84+$4.15
Newcastle United FC to score first vs. Coventry City FC?No23944¢100¢$239+$134$0
Will A.J. Brown have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No16559.5¢87¢$144+$45$0
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes14968.2¢84¢$125+$24+$8.73
Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No13974¢85.5¢$119+$16$0
Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No45942.9¢23.5¢$108−$89+$2.16
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8090¢96¢$77+$4.80$0
Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No18149.9¢42¢$76−$14$0
Will A.J. Brown have 1,524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No7290¢96.9¢$70+$4.93$0
Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6339¢86¢$54+$30$0
Will Sam Darnold have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No6469.2¢79.5¢$51+$6.61−$0.52
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes33214¢10.5¢$35−$12$0
Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4042¢72.5¢$29+$12$0
Will Aaron Jones have 224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2190¢96.2¢$20+$1.29$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal5049¢38.5¢$19−$5.25$0
Will Sam Darnold have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4011¢20.5¢$8.20+$3.80$0
Will Sam Darnold have 29.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes302¢15.5¢$4.65+$4.05$0
Will Jalen Hurts have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No934¢50¢$4.63+$1.48$0
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No287¢16¢$4.54+$2.56$0
Will Garrett Wilson have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No467¢79¢$3.16+$0.48$0
Will Caleb Williams have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No522¢62.5¢$3.13+$2.02$0
Will Sam Darnold have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes54¢56.5¢$2.83+$2.63$0
Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes323¢76.5¢$2.29+$1.60$0
Will South Africa win?No245¢98.1¢$1.78+$0.96$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes184¢87.1¢$1.04+$0.04$0
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo20.5k35.2¢0¢$0−$7,238+$15
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No19.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$23−$0.40
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo18.3k55.8¢0¢$0−$10.2k$0
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo14.2k33.6¢0¢$0−$4,762$0
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo12.5k45.6¢0¢$0−$5,704−$0.96
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo10.9k32.8¢0¢$0−$3,576−$1.09
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes10.9k0.3¢0¢$0−$37−$1.03
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$10$0
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo9,97941¢0¢$0−$4,091$0
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?No9,37334.8¢0¢$0−$3,260$0
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsNo9,20975.2¢0¢$0−$6,926$0
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No9,2002.3¢0¢$0−$209−$0.01
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo8,34364¢0¢$0−$5,336−$3.96
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsNo8,26073¢0¢$0−$6,029$0
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No8,2127¢0¢$0−$575−$7.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerSpirit7,4271¢0¢$0−$74−$3.68
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes7,1953¢0¢$0−$215+$0.84
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo7,02761.1¢0¢$0−$4,295−$0.04
Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group BAzuolas6,18445.8¢0¢$0−$2,830−$69
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No5,53144.9¢0¢$0−$2,485−$6.42
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo5,51649.2¢0¢$0−$2,717−$0.15
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo5,40054.4¢0¢$0−$2,940−$1.09
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.20
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo4,70747.7¢0¢$0−$2,244−$0.24
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo4,65784.2¢0¢$0−$3,922−$0.08
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsNo4,10472.3¢0¢$0−$2,968$0
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerOG4,04742.7¢0¢$0−$1,729−$40
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo4,04548.4¢0¢$0−$1,957$0
Cardinals vs. GiantsCardinals3,80056.8¢0¢$0−$2,160$0
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq?Yes3,5552.5¢0¢$0−$90−$1.14
Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo3,35380.7¢0¢$0−$2,706−$16
Counter-Strike: mellren vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren3,09741.8¢0¢$0−$1,293−$30
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsNo3,07741¢0¢$0−$1,263+$7.28
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs DerbyshireLeicestershire3,05155.9¢0¢$0−$1,706−$1.27
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsNo3,0102.2¢0¢$0−$67$0
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo3,00085¢0¢$0−$2,550$0
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo2,93071.1¢0¢$0−$2,083−$3.94
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora2,91228.4¢0¢$0−$829−$18
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?No2,90915.4¢0¢$0−$447−$21
Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?No2,85834¢0¢$0−$972−$0.45
Counter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group CVitality Academy2,85733.1¢0¢$0−$947−$15
Norway to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?No2,80046¢0¢$0−$1,288−$3.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo2,67752.7¢0¢$0−$1,411−$0.65
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Over2,5500.5¢0¢$0−$13−$0.04
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs mellren (BO5) - European Pro League Series 9 PlayoffsLeo Team2,47729.6¢0¢$0−$732−$21
Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs AfghanistanAfghanistan2,44110.9¢0¢$0−$267$0
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo2,3249.6¢0¢$0−$222$0
Counter-Strike: Gothic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 PlayoffsEsport Academy Copenhagen2,29253.4¢0¢$0−$1,224−$14
Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?No2,12334.8¢0¢$0−$739−$1.24
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo2,05267.1¢0¢$0−$1,377−$1.89
Erling Haaland: Anytime GoalscorerNo2,05049.3¢0¢$0−$1,010$0
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goalsNo2,00987¢0¢$0−$1,748$0
Harry Kane: Anytime GoalscorerNo2,00642.7¢0¢$0−$857$0
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs ChinaChina2,0002.1¢0¢$0−$42$0
France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Under2,0002.4¢0¢$0−$48+$4.00
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo1,95648.2¢0¢$0−$944$0
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsNo1,79256.4¢0¢$0−$1,011−$13
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo1,66081.7¢0¢$0−$1,356$0
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo1,56744.5¢0¢$0−$697$0
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo1,52369.6¢0¢$0−$1,061$0
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo1,51958.9¢0¢$0−$894$0
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under1,50031¢0¢$0−$465$0
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerLOUD1,46026.2¢0¢$0−$382−$11
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsNo1,44365¢0¢$0−$938$0
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes1,43519.7¢0¢$0−$282+$1.31
Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerNo1,42173.8¢0¢$0−$1,048$0
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes1,41526.2¢0¢$0−$371$0
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsNo1,40883¢0¢$0−$1,168$0
Karim Adeyemi: Anytime GoalscorerNo1,39356¢0¢$0−$780$0
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo1,30282.2¢0¢$0−$1,070$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY 49ers49ers vs. Seahawks56¢1,512$84785%69
BUY NoJordan Addison: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings)99¢59$5885%69
BUY NoJordan Addison: Team First TD (Minnesota Vikings)99¢37$3785%69
SELL UnderJordan Addison: Longest Reception O/U 19.598.4¢25$2585%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C18¢97$1785%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C30¢36$1185%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C30¢10$3.0085%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C31¢10$3.1085%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C31¢20$6.2085%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C31¢10$3.1085%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C31¢50$1685%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C30¢40$1285%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C30¢100$3085%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C29¢140$4185%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C24.6¢108$2785%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C31¢225$7085%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C24¢66$1685%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C45.6¢250$11485%69
BUY Vitality AcademyCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C38¢227$8685%69
BUY CTRL EsportsCounter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy - Map 2 Winner17.7¢30$5.3085%69