sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,157

bravelittleguy

0x1d6…928f@mainmanmain11
WhaleWR 60+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,000vol $1.01M
PnL 30d+$448gains $583 · losses $319
PnL 7d−$98win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.2%adj 59.3% · 30d 58.3%
Open value$14.8kcash n/a
Positions30 / 260open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$270below peak −$482Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.2% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes11.4k85.2¢95.6¢$10.9k+$1,185+$165
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No1,32495.2¢97.2¢$1,286+$26−$4.20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?No1,33492.3¢94.8¢$1,265+$34+$4.24
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No1,20088¢97.7¢$1,172+$116$0
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No11595.5¢99.5¢$115+$4.51+$3.90
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?No5492¢97.5¢$53+$2.99$0
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No2093¢86.3¢$17−$1.35$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,8311.7¢0.9¢$16−$15+$113
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes2,7828.1¢0¢$0−$224−$35
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?No1,9007.2¢0¢$0−$137$0
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No1,6009¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes41173.5¢0¢$0−$302$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4004.5¢0¢$0−$18−$0.52
Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes31364¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?No23464¢0¢$0−$150−$3.78
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?No18261¢0¢$0−$111+$2.44
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?No12539.6¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes1064.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Yes10042¢0¢$0−$42$0
Islanders vs. RangersIslanders9841¢0¢$0−$40−$1.18
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes7877¢0¢$0−$60−$0.55
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 4?No6856¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes5664¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No5053¢0¢$0−$27−$0.50
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No4989¢0¢$0−$44−$0.19
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on August 4?No401¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will Trump's remarks not air?No4061¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes3132¢0¢$0−$10−$0.20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on August 4?No202¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Yes115¢0¢$0−$0.19$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢1,473$1,35560%36
SELL NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?91¢657$59860%36
SELL SenatorsSenators vs. Red Wings46¢106$4960%36
BUY IslandersIslanders vs. Rangers41¢98$4060%36
BUY SenatorsSenators vs. Red Wings47¢106$5060%36
SELL NoFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?99.3¢111$11060%36
BUY NoFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?99.2¢121$12060%36
SELL NoWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?89¢65$5860%36
SELL YesWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.5¢100$0.5060%36
SELL NoWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?99.8¢3,385$3,37860%36
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢753$70060%36
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?95¢363$34460%36
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢602$50060%36
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?68¢147$10060%36
SELL NoWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?98.9¢500$49560%36
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?92¢543$50060%36
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?88¢51$4560%36
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?88.9¢2,811$2,50060%36
SELL YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?96.8¢1,214$1,17560%36
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?90¢256$23060%36