PnL all-time+$457vol $339k
PnL 30d+$1,541gains $57 · losses $615
PnL 7d+$716win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.4%adj 51.3% · 30d 20.0%
Open value$5,227cash n/a
Positions10 / 190open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.3%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,528below peak −$96Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 51.4% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$575Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yesopen+$535Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yesopen+$466Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yesopen+$446Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed+$387
Worst markets
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$356Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting? · Yesclosed−$351Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yesclosed−$329Liberals win majority in Canadian election? · Yesclosed−$284Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed−$245
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 3,117 | 48.3¢ | 65.5¢ | $2,042 | +$535 | $0 | |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2,143 | 35.7¢ | 56.5¢ | $1,211 | +$446 | $0 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1,081 | 29.4¢ | 72.5¢ | $784 | +$466 | $0 | |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 637 | 31.4¢ | 53.5¢ | $341 | +$141 | −$58 | |
| Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 895 | 22.3¢ | 29.4¢ | $263 | +$64 | $0 | |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 594 | 33.7¢ | 43.3¢ | $257 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 351 | 57¢ | 54.5¢ | $191 | −$8.77 | $0 | |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $138 | −$12 | −$343 | |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 94 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards? | Yes | 30 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
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