PnL all-time+$180vol $14.4k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 53.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$342cash n/a
Positions9 / 15open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$188below peak −$117Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable39
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · Yesopen+$264Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Noopen+$16Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Noclosed+$13Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yesclosed+$7.00Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21? · Yesclosed+$6.17
Worst markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yesclosed−$29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yesclosed−$23Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$21Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on June 13? · Yesopen−$16Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$11
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 286 | 7¢ | 100¢ | $286 | +$266 | −$1.73 | |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 37 | 54.2¢ | 100¢ | $37 | +$17 | −$1.26 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 39 | 51¢ | 50¢ | $20 | −$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on June 13? | Yes | 4,876 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.75 | |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3,333 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.70 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,818 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$1.39 | |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,667 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.70 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 833 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.70 | |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 769 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.70 |
Recent trades
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