sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

LatinaConqueror

0x1d7…51b6
WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,444vol $1.91M
PnL 30d−$92gains $141 · losses $82
PnL 7d−$76win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate64.9%adj 64.3% · 30d 69.2%
Open value$5,722cash n/a
Positions84 / 584open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,886below peak −$4,315Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 84

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes45584¢96.2¢$437+$55$0
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No42492.8¢96.7¢$410+$17$0
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?No36487¢94.5¢$344+$27$0
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes31090.4¢97.2¢$301+$21$0
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No35094.4¢80¢$280−$51$0
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No20092.4¢97.6¢$195+$10$0
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?No20095.6¢96.3¢$193+$1.30$0
New pandemic in 2026?No20093¢95¢$190+$4.00$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No25091.6¢73.5¢$184−$45$0
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Yes22056.9¢68.5¢$150+$25$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes20082¢72¢$144−$20$0
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?No13192.8¢99.2¢$130+$8.39$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No12894¢96.5¢$123+$3.19$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No20074.6¢61¢$122−$27$0
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No11091.1¢96.3¢$106+$5.64$0
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?No10496¢96.6¢$101+$0.57$0
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?No10195¢98.9¢$100+$3.89$0
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No10595.5¢95.3¢$100−$0.16$0
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No10092.9¢99¢$99+$6.10$0
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes10095.3¢98.4¢$98+$3.10$0
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No10095.6¢97.8¢$98+$2.20$0
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?No10096.1¢97.5¢$97+$1.40$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No10096.8¢97¢$97+$0.15$0
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No10096.5¢96.6¢$97+$0.05$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No10090¢96.5¢$97+$6.50$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No10091.5¢95.6¢$96+$4.10$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No10092¢95.5¢$96+$3.50$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?No10094.9¢94.7¢$95−$0.25$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No10092¢93.5¢$94+$1.50$0
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No10090¢93.1¢$93+$3.05$0
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No10083¢92.8¢$93+$9.75+$3.15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No10090¢92.5¢$93+$2.50$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No10092¢92.5¢$93+$0.50$0
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?No9695.8¢95.9¢$92+$0.10$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No10074¢87¢$87+$13$0
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?No9094¢95.5¢$86+$1.36$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes10069¢82.5¢$83+$14$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No30035¢23.5¢$70−$34$0
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?No5497.1¢98.2¢$53+$0.57$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5342.6¢1.8¢$44−$22+$15
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?Yes32513¢10.5¢$34−$8.12+$1.67
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes30010¢8.6¢$26−$4.35$0
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?No1894.4¢96.4¢$17+$0.34$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No2086¢81.5¢$16−$0.90$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes20028.2¢8¢$16−$40$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No30059.4¢4.5¢$13−$165$0
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Yes2279¢4.2¢$9.40−$11+$11
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No10048¢9¢$9.00−$39$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes2407.8¢2.9¢$6.84−$12−$8.89
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No584.3¢95.5¢$4.39+$0.51+$3.30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes336¢89¢$2.47+$1.47$0
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?No296.5¢99.2¢$2.45+$0.07$0
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3,8423.6¢0.1¢$1.92−$137+$0.37
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes616¢22.5¢$1.41+$0.41+$1.68
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes255¢63.5¢$1.16+$0.15+$23
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes242¢37.5¢$0.89−$0.11$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?No132¢51.1¢$0.75+$0.28$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes812¢8.5¢$0.71−$0.29$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes256¢31.5¢$0.56−$0.44$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No6,00016¢0¢$0−$960$0
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes1,2660.8¢0¢$0−$10+$44
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?Yes1,00075¢0¢$0−$750$0
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes1,0005.3¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes1,00017¢0¢$0−$170$0
UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)Guilherme Pat79428¢0¢$0−$222−$2.68
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?No43310¢0¢$0−$43+$29
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes43374¢0¢$0−$320−$362
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No42241.2¢0¢$0−$174−$2.67
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes41012¢0¢$0−$49+$13
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes40026.7¢0¢$0−$107−$37
Fed rate hike in 2026?No32554.4¢0¢$0−$177−$1.55
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?Yes2044.4¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes2027.4¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes2025.9¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes20050¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes2007¢0¢$0−$14$0
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsYes20092¢0¢$0−$184−$0.74
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes13010¢0¢$0−$13+$8.69
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo DellienRoberto Carballes Baena12439¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No4022¢0¢$0−$8.84+$19
Fight to Go the Distance?No4041¢0¢$0−$16+$3.93
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?No1812¢0¢$0−$2.16+$2.79
Istanbul: Kerem Yilmaz vs Anton MatusevichKerem Yilmaz612¢0¢$0−$0.68$0
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes247¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?66¢20$1365%31
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?83¢120$10065%31
BUY NoFed rate hike in 2026?55¢125$6965%31
BUY NoWill Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?96.8¢103$10065%31
BUY NoWill Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?96.7¢103$10065%31
BUY NoWill Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?96¢104$10065%31
BUY NoWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?95.5¢105$10065%31
BUY NoWill Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?95¢101$9665%31
BUY NoWill George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?94¢90$8565%31
BUY NoWill Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?93¢100$9365%31
BUY NoWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?91.2¢110$10065%31
BUY NoWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?98.1¢510$50065%31
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?94¢128$12065%31
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?92¢100$9265%31
BUY YesLionel Messi: 1+ shots92¢200$18465%31
BUY NoWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?40.8¢122$5065%31
BUY NoWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?39¢100$3965%31
BUY YesVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?83¢120$10065%31
BUY NoWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?97.5¢308$30065%31
BUYMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score19.4¢176$3465%31