PnL all-time+$1,698vol $153k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.4%adj 58.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$210cash n/a
Positions14 / 198open / all-time
Max drawdown−73.8%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,698below peak −$4,783Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 59.4% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity26
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? · Yesclosed+$4,858Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or? · Yesclosed+$2,758Will the Bloc Québécois win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election? · Yesclosed+$1,548Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election? · Yesclosed+$1,002Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed+$848
Worst markets
Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election? · Yesclosed−$996Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election? · Yesclosed−$304Will the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election? · Yesclosed−$304Will another party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election? · Yesclosed−$304Will the Conservative Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election? · Yesclosed−$301
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 100¢ | $210 | +$202 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Desire Doue win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 | |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 210 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.73 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s