sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,653

Liou-No2

0x1dd…23bb
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,900vol $2.91M
PnL 30d+$278gains $222 · losses $46
PnL 7d+$47win rate 7d 99.1%
Win rate99.0%adj 97.1% · 30d 99.0%
Open value$5,141cash n/a
Positions42 / 7,127open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,507below peak −$4,872Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 99.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?No1,45699.9¢100¢$1,455+$0.73$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?No73399.9¢100¢$733+$0.49$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 8?No59499.9¢100¢$594+$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 8?No42499.9¢100¢$424+$0.21$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8?No42499.9¢100¢$423+$0.21$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 9?No38799.8¢100¢$387+$0.58$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 8?No38599.8¢100¢$384+$0.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 8?No36999.9¢100¢$369+$0.18$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8?No23099.9¢100¢$230+$0.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 9?No10999.1¢100¢$108+$0.92$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 8?No3399.9¢100¢$33+$0.02$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8?Yes304.6¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.36$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?Yes1,0050.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 26?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 19?Yes2560.1¢0¢$0−$0.26−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 13?Yes1000.9¢0¢$0−$0.90−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?Yes1000.9¢0¢$0−$0.91−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 4?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 4?Yes681¢0¢$0−$0.68−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?Yes5599.9¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 13?Yes502¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 29?Yes502¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?Yes4035¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 2?Yes353¢0¢$0−$1.05−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?Yes352.7¢0¢$0−$0.94−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?Yes2415.8¢0¢$0−$3.81−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 28?Yes223¢0¢$0−$0.65$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?Yes210.2¢0¢$0−$0.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 4?Yes206¢0¢$0−$1.21−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?Yes205¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20?Yes205¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 15?Yes206¢0¢$0−$1.20−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 19?Yes206¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on August 30?Yes205¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 24?Yes110.4¢0¢$0−$0.04$0
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York LibertyMinnesota Lynx1024¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 25?Yes1010¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 13?Yes1010¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 30?Yes715¢0¢$0−$1.05−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 25?Yes510¢0¢$0−$0.50+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?Yes520¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 9?99.9¢35$3599%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 9?99.1¢109$10899%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 9?99.8¢387$38799%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 8?99.9¢37$3799%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 8?99.8¢21$2199%47
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8?4.6¢30$1.3899%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?99.9¢1,456$1,45599%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8?99.9¢289$28899%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 8?99.8¢210$21099%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 8?99.9¢587$58699%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?99.9¢606$60699%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 8?99.9¢360$36099%47
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8?99.9¢55$5599%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 8?99.9¢384$38499%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 8?99.9¢345$34599%47
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?99.9¢225$22599%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 8?99.9¢955$95499%47
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?0.5¢138$0.6999%47
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?99.9¢570$57099%47
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 8?99.9¢445$44499%47