sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

El-popo

0x1de…0f87
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$279vol $36.0k
PnL 30d+$130gains $149 · losses $8.01
PnL 7d+$107win rate 7d 93.3%
Win rate95.8%adj 92.6% · 30d 94.3%
Open value$4,569cash n/a
Positions42 / 308open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.7%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$389below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 95.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Noclosed+$41Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Noclosed+$25Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$21Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Noclosed+$20Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? · Noclosed+$19

Worst markets

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesclosed−$133US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · Yesopen−$51Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? · Noclosed−$21NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$16Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month? · Yesopen−$11

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No55887.7¢86.4¢$482−$7.47$0
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?No26095¢94.5¢$246−$1.30$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No26094¢93.5¢$243−$1.30$0
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes27688¢85¢$235−$8.29$0
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?No19094.5¢97.9¢$186+$6.42$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?No18593¢93.5¢$173+$0.84$0
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No17393.3¢95.1¢$164+$3.05$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?Yes16994¢96.9¢$164+$4.90$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-07 House seat?No16995¢96.2¢$163+$1.95$0
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat?No16994¢95.9¢$162+$3.13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?No16795¢96.9¢$162+$3.18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?No16995¢95.5¢$162+$0.85$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?No16694.2¢97.3¢$161+$5.05$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?No17293.5¢93.9¢$161+$0.55$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?No16795¢95.9¢$160+$1.51$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?No17194¢89.5¢$153−$7.70$0
Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?No14990.6¢95.6¢$143+$7.31$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Yes19862¢71.5¢$141+$19$0
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?No12585¢92¢$115+$8.75$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?No11694.4¢98.6¢$114+$4.79$0
Jonathan Majors as Kang?No12087.4¢90.5¢$108+$3.65$0
Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?No10494¢93¢$97−$1.04$0
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?No9694.7¢95.1¢$91+$0.34$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes10786¢81.5¢$88−$4.83$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?Yes8692¢96¢$82+$3.39$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Yes8693¢95.5¢$82+$2.15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat?No6794¢97.2¢$66+$2.16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?No6795¢96.8¢$65+$1.20$0
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?No5195¢95.5¢$49+$0.26$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?No4995¢90¢$44−$2.43$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No2890¢88.9¢$25−$0.32$0
Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?No2492¢92¢$22$0$0
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No2192¢91¢$19−$0.21$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?No1883¢90.5¢$16+$1.32$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes1697.9¢99.8¢$16+$0.29$0
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?No597.2¢83.9¢$4.31−$0.69$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes587¢79.6¢$3.98−$0.37$0
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain197.6¢100¢$1.16+$0.03$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes5397.1¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No2533¢0¢$0−$8.25−$0.22
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1535¢0¢$0−$5.25$0
Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?Yes937.1¢0¢$0−$3.45−$7.12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?96.8¢265$25796%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the BLAST Slam VIII Grand Final be a reverse sweep?99¢23$2396%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?95¢260$24796%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?97.1¢201$19596%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?96.7¢207$20096%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?94¢260$24596%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?96.1¢23$2296%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?94¢73$6996%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?88¢23$2096%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?93.6¢73$6896%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?95.6¢169$16296%78Sharp
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?87.2¢271$23696%78Sharp
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?87.4¢92$8096%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?94.8¢180$17096%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?97.5¢55$5496%78Sharp
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?88.5¢195$17396%78Sharp
SELL NoWill the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?96.6¢8$7.7396%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?95.2¢51$4896%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the BLAST Slam VIII Grand Final be a reverse sweep?90¢13$1296%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the BLAST Slam VIII Grand Final be a reverse sweep?88¢5$4.4096%78Sharp