| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 332k | 48.6¢ | 48.4¢ | $161k | −$626 | +$527 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 65.3k | 92.4¢ | 98.9¢ | $64.6k | +$4,236 | +$93 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 296k | 0.4¢ | 14.9¢ | $43.9k | +$42.8k | +$3,367 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 40.0k | 84.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $39.1k | +$5,205 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 30.2k | 46.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $18.5k | +$4,409 | +$2,106 | |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 16.0k | 56¢ | 65.5¢ | $10.5k | +$1,518 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 15.0k | 62.1¢ | 66.5¢ | $9,975 | +$662 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 309k | 0.4¢ | 3.1¢ | $9,424 | +$8,121 | +$402 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 2.6¢ | $7,752 | +$6,555 | +$581 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 314k | 0.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $7,536 | +$6,300 | +$60 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 306k | 0.4¢ | 2¢ | $6,120 | +$4,916 | +$611 | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8,696 | 56¢ | 63.5¢ | $5,522 | +$652 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $4,865 | +$3,668 | +$240 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 30.0k | 17.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $4,050 | −$1,200 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,783 | 3¢ | 88.4¢ | $3,346 | +$3,231 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 45¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,175 | +$925 | $0 | |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 1¢ | $2,888 | +$1,691 | +$91 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 2,890 | 89¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,760 | +$188 | $0 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $2,712 | +$1,456 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 29.1k | 16.2¢ | 8.6¢ | $2,520 | −$2,190 | −$83 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $1,595 | +$339 | $0 | |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 316k | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $1,423 | +$178 | +$37 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9,239 | 5.3¢ | 13.3¢ | $1,224 | +$735 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,117 | −$139 | $0 | |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 308k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,078 | −$135 | +$212 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,064 | −$133 | +$175 | |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,064 | −$133 | +$81 | |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,064 | −$133 | +$131 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6,743 | 27.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $1,042 | −$806 | $0 | |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $798 | −$458 | $0 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 305k | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $762 | −$438 | +$67 | |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $760 | −$437 | +$16 | |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $760 | −$437 | +$76 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $760 | −$437 | +$61 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 682 | 87¢ | 96.3¢ | $656 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Trump on $250 bill this year? | No | 665 | 90¢ | 97.6¢ | $649 | +$51 | +$247 | |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 707 | 42.7¢ | 83.2¢ | $588 | +$286 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 10.0k | 29.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $550 | −$2,375 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 338k | 0.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $507 | −$1,095 | +$33 | |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 71¢ | 97.6¢ | $488 | +$133 | $0 | |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $479 | −$777 | $0 | |
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $479 | −$777 | $0 | |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $479 | −$777 | $0 | |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $479 | −$777 | $0 | |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$31 | |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$31 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$61 | |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$31 | |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$31 | |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$16 | |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$46 | |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $456 | −$741 | +$61 | |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 600 | 55¢ | 53.5¢ | $321 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 805 | 29¢ | 29.5¢ | $237 | +$4.02 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $160 | −$1,096 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $160 | −$1,096 | $0 | |
| Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $160 | −$1,096 | $0 | |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 319k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $160 | −$1,096 | $0 | |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $152 | −$1,045 | +$46 | |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $152 | −$1,045 | +$16 | |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $152 | −$1,045 | +$16 | |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $152 | −$1,045 | +$31 | |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 304k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $152 | −$1,045 | +$16 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5,000 | 4¢ | 2.4¢ | $118 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | Yes | 1,567 | 5¢ | 5.1¢ | $80 | +$1.57 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | 66¢ | 6.5¢ | $46 | −$417 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5,979 | 17¢ | 0.5¢ | $30 | −$987 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 122 | 16¢ | 24.5¢ | $30 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $20 | −$60 | +$0.14 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 15 | 40¢ | 89¢ | $13 | +$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 24 | 2.9¢ | 5¢ | $1.18 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | Yes | 50.2k | 25.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.7k | $0 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 36.2k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$347 | +$6.08 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.0k | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,929 | −$0.02 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 29.8k | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,681 | −$11.9k | |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | No | 28.0k | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,450 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | Yes | 26.4k | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,638 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 25.1k | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.0k | −$7.61 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 24.5k | 20.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | 23.6k | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,936 | $0 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 22.5k | 25.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,707 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 20.8k | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$546 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 20.0k | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,000 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | Yes | 20.0k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$616 | −$30 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 20.0k | 38.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,640 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | Yes | 20.0k | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,600 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | Yes | 19.9k | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$453 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 18.7k | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,353 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 45.9k | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,011 | +$680 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 15.0k | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$798 | $0 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | No | 13.1k | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,473 | +$0.13 | |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 12.5k | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,748 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 12.0k | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,552 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | Yes | 11.6k | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,699 | $0 | |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%? | Yes | 11.2k | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,983 | +$142 | |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | Yes | 10.0k | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,904 | −$67 | |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 10.0k | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,250 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 10.0k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$329 | $0 | |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | Mexico | 10.0k | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,600 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 10.0k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$329 | $0 | |
