PnL all-time−$1,581vol $172k
PnL 30d−$1,353gains $1.02 · losses $647
PnL 7d−$296win rate 7d 0.8%
Win rate1.2%adj 3.2% · 30d 1.2%
Open value$36cash n/a
Positions1 / 2,876open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,378below peak −$1,551Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 1.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? · Yesclosed+$0.35Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Noclosed+$0.29Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$0.22Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? · Yesclosed+$0.12Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Noclosed+$0.02
Worst markets
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Noclosed−$20Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$18Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Noclosed−$18Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Noclosed−$16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$14
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | No | 50 | 90.6¢ | 72.2¢ | $36 | −$9.20 | $0 |
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