PnL all-time+$289vol $24.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 42.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$730cash n/a
Positions7 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.3%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$289below peak −$5.59Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Megaquake before August? · Yesclosed+$303Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay? · Noclosed+$1.70Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? · Noopen+$1.54Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Noopen+$0.72Will the price of Solana be less than $110 on November 13? · Noclosed+$0.72
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? · Upopen−$3.57Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion? · Noclosed−$2.24Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of March? · Yesopen−$2.17Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 21? · Yesopen−$2.15Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election? · Yesopen−$1.40
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | No | 370 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $370 | +$1.54 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 360 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $360 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 21? | Yes | 569 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.15 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 520 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of March? | Yes | 434 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.17 | $0 | |
| Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election? | Yes | 350 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | Up | 218 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.57 | $0 |
Recent trades
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