PnL all-time−$818vol $6,686
PnL 30d+$583gains $89 · losses $61
PnL 7d+$52win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate62.5%adj 53.6% · 30d 40.0%
Open value$1,247cash n/a
Positions9 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−93.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$275below peak −$303Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.5% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity7
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · Yesopen+$298Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? · Yesopen+$138Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed+$82Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31? · Yesopen+$71Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Noclosed+$50
Worst markets
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? · Yesopen−$703Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesopen−$101Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yesopen−$100Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? · Underopen−$50Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? · Yesclosed−$41
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? | Yes | 818 | 51.6¢ | 88.1¢ | $721 | +$298 | $0 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | Yes | 409 | 34.2¢ | 68¢ | $278 | +$138 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31? | Yes | 211 | 35¢ | 68.5¢ | $145 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | Yes | 120 | 67.5¢ | 86.3¢ | $103 | +$22 | +$17 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | Yes | 1,086 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$695 | −$7.91 | |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | Yes | 333 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | Under | 202 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | −$1.14 | |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 130 | 77¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.92 | |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 11 | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.04 |
Recent trades
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