sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

20YrsOfBoredom

0x1ec…53a9
PnL 10k+1y+CultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.3kvol $1.06M
PnL 30d+$11.5kgains $25.9k · losses $16.1k
PnL 7d+$8.68win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate37.1%adj 37.7% · 30d 31.1%
Open value$4,271cash n/a
Positions52 / 1,936open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.1%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.3kbelow peak −$391Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 37.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 52

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,04379.6¢80.5¢$840+$8.97$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes60483.9¢83.5¢$504−$2.71+$4.96
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No45783.1¢87.5¢$400+$20$0
Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No36975.4¢84.5¢$312+$34+$5.94
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes25689¢95.6¢$245+$17$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No20084¢93.5¢$187+$19$0
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes24767¢72.5¢$179+$14$0
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes24257¢64.5¢$156+$18$0
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No18377.3¢84.5¢$155+$13$0
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No35931.3¢39¢$140+$28$0
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes17890¢71.8¢$128−$32$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No12571¢79.5¢$99+$11$0
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes50717.8¢18.2¢$92+$1.74$0
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Yes12769.2¢71.3¢$91+$2.60$0
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes20038¢43.3¢$87+$11$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No9974.5¢86.5¢$85+$12$0
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes9567¢73¢$70+$5.71$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes8279¢83.5¢$69+$3.71$0
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No6883.3¢92.4¢$63+$6.16$0
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes36016.6¢16¢$58−$2.00$0
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No9055.1¢52.5¢$47−$2.32$0
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes15727¢28¢$44+$1.57$0
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No10057¢33¢$33−$24$0
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2178.4¢12¢$26+$7.88$0
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No2591.9¢91.9¢$23−$0.01$0
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4057¢56.5¢$23−$0.20$0
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2,9450.7¢0.7¢$19−$0.77$0
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4513¢34.5¢$16+$9.68$0
Will Tangles win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes29011.8¢5.3¢$15−$19$0
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1844.4¢5.6¢$10+$2.18$0
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?No1147¢90.6¢$10+$4.95$0
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes6611¢1.1¢$7.27+$0.93$0
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1254¢50.5¢$6.06−$0.42$0
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,5200.3¢0.4¢$5.32+$0.76$0
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1522.2¢2.1¢$3.20−$0.13$0
Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2,0400.2¢0.2¢$3.06−$0.91$0
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes456.3¢5.7¢$2.56−$0.27$0
Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes218.2¢11.5¢$2.38+$0.67$0
Will petal (Ariana Grande) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1850.9¢1.3¢$2.32+$0.67$0
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes668¢3.2¢$2.07−$3.18$0
Will The Great Divide (Noah Kahan) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1030.9¢2¢$2.06+$1.13$0
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes6910.3¢0.3¢$1.73−$0.65$0
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1770.7¢0.8¢$1.42+$0.18$0
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4011¢3.4¢$1.36−$3.04$0
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes1455.5¢9.4¢$1.34−$6.58−$1.97
Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes571.1¢2.3¢$1.27+$0.66$0
Will All of a Sudden win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1191.6¢1¢$1.13−$0.76$0
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes384.9¢2.7¢$0.99−$0.86$0
Will Adéla win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes211¢4.6¢$0.95+$0.75$0
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes16115.7¢0¢$0−$25−$0.64
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No10234¢0¢$0−$35−$0.69
Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes701.8¢0¢$0−$1.25−$0.06

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?83.3¢68$5737%52
BUY YesWill Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?27¢157$4237%52
BUY YesWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?84¢600$50437%52
BUY NoWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?79¢200$15837%52
BUY YesWill Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?13¢30$3.9037%52
BUY YesWill Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?0.7¢177$1.2337%52
BUY YesWill Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?57¢40$2337%52
BUY YesWill Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?7.9¢15$1.1937%52
BUY NoWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?88¢20$1837%52
BUY YesWill Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?8¢51$4.0637%52
BUY NoWill "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?32.2¢259$8337%52
BUY NoWill Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?89¢158$14137%52
BUY NoWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?82¢130$10737%52
BUY YesWill Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?69.3¢67$4737%52
BUY YesWill Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?69.1¢40$2837%52
BUY NoWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?83.9¢210$17637%52
BUY YesWill Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?54¢12$6.4837%52
SELL NoWill Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?82¢119$9837%52
BUY NoWill Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?91.9¢25$2337%52
SELL NoWill Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?78¢30$2337%52