sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,413

frapoleon

0x1ef…41af
CryptoPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$753vol $99.3k
PnL 30d+$357gains $361 · losses $1,984
PnL 7d+$10win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate48.8%adj 48.8% · 30d 11.6%
Open value$1,071cash n/a
Positions15 / 799open / all-time
Max drawdown−62.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$345below peak −$193Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.8% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity37

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$216US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Noclosed+$203US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? · Noclosed+$170Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesclosed+$100Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Downclosed+$90

Worst markets

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · Noclosed−$200US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? · Noclosed−$146US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · Noclosed−$116Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Upclosed−$100US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · Noclosed−$97

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes35057¢72¢$252+$53+$0.17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes28353¢63.5¢$180+$30$0
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes19252¢72.5¢$139+$39$0
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes14355.9¢54.5¢$78−$2.04$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes16051.2¢46.4¢$74−$7.66$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes11260.3¢63.5¢$71+$3.55$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes11359.4¢61.5¢$69+$2.33$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes14741.1¢41.9¢$61+$1.10$0
Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?Yes5468.1¢58¢$31−$5.40$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes5258¢59.5¢$31+$0.78$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes3476¢80.5¢$27+$1.52$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes3562¢61.5¢$22−$0.18$0
Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Yes6850.5¢29.2¢$20−$14$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2755¢57.5¢$16+$0.68$0
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Yes9330.9¢0¢$0−$29−$0.80

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢35$2249%39
SELL YesWill Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?27¢84$2349%39
BUY YesWill Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?64¢17$1149%39
SELL YesWill Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?33¢37$1249%39
BUY YesWill Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?70¢36$2649%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢24$1449%39
SELL YesWill Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?26.2¢56$1549%39
BUY YesWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?55¢11$6.0049%39
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58¢28$1649%39
SELL NoSpain snap election called by November 30?0.1¢45$0.0549%39
BUY YesWill Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?43¢56$2449%39
BUY YesWill Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?53¢94$5049%39
BUY NoSpain snap election called by November 30?47¢21$1049%39
BUY NoSpain snap election called by November 30?42¢24$1049%39
BUY YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?76¢34$2649%39
BUY YesWill Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?30¢43$1349%39
BUY YesWill Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?57.1¢19$1149%39
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?43¢67$2949%39
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?47.4¢42$2049%39
BUY YesWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?56¢39$2249%39