PnL all-time−$159vol $20.1k
PnL 30d−$0.30gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.04win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate79.2%adj 65.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$223cash n/a
Positions3 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.9%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$139below peak −$141Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 79.2% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$16Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? · Noopen+$6.08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 11? · Noclosed+$5.86Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? · Noclosed+$5.05Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$4.28
Worst markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$87Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? · Noopen−$50Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? · Yesclosed−$50S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2? · Upclosed−$10Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 5? · Yesclosed−$1.00
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 122 | 82¢ | 95.4¢ | $116 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | No | 106 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $106 | +$6.38 | −$0.30 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | No | 58 | 85.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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