PnL all-time+$6,605vol $97.7k
PnL 30d+$159gains $158 · losses $146
PnL 7d+$266win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate71.8%adj 69.6% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$730cash n/a
Positions2 / 176open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.7%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$6,839below peak −$12Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 71.8% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1? · Noclosed+$597Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27? · Noclosed+$552Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2? · Yesclosed+$393Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yesclosed+$365Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May? · Yesclosed+$344
Worst markets
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April? · Yesclosed−$353Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4? · Noclosed−$254Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24? · Noclosed−$198Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 28? · Yesclosed−$198Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? · Yesclosed−$146
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon? | Yes | 614 | 82.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $600 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon? | No | 130 | 77¢ | 99.8¢ | $130 | +$30 | $0 |
Recent trades
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