sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,049

VibeyQuant

0x1f8…a51b@VibeyQuant
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+OtherCryptoPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$36.2kvol $2.63M
PnL 30d+$5,258gains $2,513 · losses $243
PnL 7d+$999win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.2%adj 85.8% · 30d 88.2%
Open value$58.4kcash n/a
Positions249 / 1,549open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.6%of equity peak
Account age3.9ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$49.5kbelow peak −$29.4kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 87.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No15.9k61.8¢89¢$14.1k+$4,328$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes15.3k66.7¢82.5¢$12.6k+$2,411−$201
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No9,44076.4¢96.5¢$9,109+$1,895$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No3,00043¢92.5¢$2,775+$1,485$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No2,52477.2¢92.5¢$2,335+$386$0
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No3,61272.8¢61¢$2,203−$426+$8.18
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No1,50437¢96¢$1,443+$888$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No1,50078¢81¢$1,215+$45$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,50068.3¢80.5¢$1,208+$183$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,05747.1¢48.6¢$998+$31$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No1,54759.8¢62.5¢$967+$41$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,00067¢94.5¢$945+$275$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No1,20060¢71¢$852+$132$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes1,09127¢67¢$731+$436$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No60677.1¢95.5¢$579+$112$0
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes61980¢80.7¢$500+$4.04$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No53446¢91.8¢$491+$245$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No50064¢95.5¢$477+$157$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No50086¢94.5¢$473+$43$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No61059.8¢71¢$433+$68$0
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes52981¢67¢$354−$74$0
Natural Disaster in 2026?No36958.6¢93.5¢$345+$129$0
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?No52075.4¢63¢$328−$65$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,53222.8¢19.9¢$304−$46$0
Bears vs. PackersBears50059¢52.5¢$263−$33$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No29587¢86.1¢$254−$2.80+$10
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?No25587¢92.5¢$236+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes34353.6¢62.5¢$215+$31$0
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes23366¢62¢$145−$9.34$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No14588¢95.5¢$138+$11$0
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes16873.8¢61.5¢$103−$21$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No60848.9¢17¢$103−$194$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No11668¢87.5¢$102+$23$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No10080¢97.1¢$97+$17$0
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No11474¢83¢$95+$10$0
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No10062¢89.5¢$90+$28$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No9986.3¢90.5¢$89+$4.10$0
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?No10073¢68.5¢$69−$4.50$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?No7088.3¢92.5¢$65+$2.95$0
Will Sui reach $1.60 before 2027?No10579.2¢52.5¢$55−$28$0
Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?No14070.9¢39¢$55−$45$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No6371¢85.5¢$54+$9.13$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No5482¢90.5¢$49+$4.58$0
Browns vs. JetsBrowns10045¢44.5¢$45−$0.50$0
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes4267.6¢96¢$41+$12$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No4082¢97.4¢$39+$6.14$0
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,0004666.9¢75.5¢$35+$3.95$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No3067¢94¢$28+$8.06$0
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No3060¢86¢$26+$7.80$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No10080¢25.5¢$26−$55$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2675.5¢90.5¢$24+$3.97$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes62763.8¢2.8¢$18−$382$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No1668.4¢61¢$9.76−$1.18$0
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes2289¢14.5¢$3.22−$17$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes5149¢5¢$2.53−$22+$72
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No15.4k45.8¢0¢$0−$7,026$0
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?No11.2k69.8¢0¢$0−$7,810−$4.78
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?No10.6k72¢0¢$0−$7,669−$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No10.0k27.3¢0¢$0−$2,735$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?No4,98272.3¢0¢$0−$3,601−$69
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No3,70552.5¢0¢$0−$1,944$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?No3,64565.6¢0¢$0−$2,391$0
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No3,48162.2¢0¢$0−$2,163$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No3,27544¢0¢$0−$1,441$0
Will Google dip to $290 in March?No3,24549.9¢0¢$0−$1,620$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?Yes3,05911.2¢0¢$0−$342$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No3,00087.7¢0¢$0−$2,630$0
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No2,74049.1¢0¢$0−$1,344$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?Yes2,63564.1¢0¢$0−$1,689$0
Will Google dip to $275 in March?No2,50072¢0¢$0−$1,800$0
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No2,47750.8¢0¢$0−$1,260$0
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No2,14181.8¢0¢$0−$1,752$0
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No2,03056.7¢0¢$0−$1,151$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No2,00070¢0¢$0−$1,400−$29
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No1,97877.6¢0¢$0−$1,536$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?No1,87887.1¢0¢$0−$1,635$0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?No1,81973.4¢0¢$0−$1,335$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?No1,68839.3¢0¢$0−$664$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes1,67775.3¢0¢$0−$1,264$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No1,65468.6¢0¢$0−$1,134$0
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k1,61369¢0¢$0−$1,112$0
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Connecticut Sun1,50653.6¢0¢$0−$808−$9.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No1,50057¢0¢$0−$855$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No1,50078.2¢0¢$0−$1,173$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No1,44666.5¢0¢$0−$961$0
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No1,29278¢0¢$0−$1,007$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No1,25069.2¢0¢$0−$864$0
Will Google dip to $300 in February?No1,22778.2¢0¢$0−$960$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No1,07874.2¢0¢$0−$800$0
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes1,02265.1¢0¢$0−$665−$63
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?No1,00023.9¢0¢$0−$239$0
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over1,00050¢0¢$0−$500$0
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Over1,00048¢0¢$0−$480$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?No1,00056¢0¢$0−$560$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?No1,00065.6¢0¢$0−$656$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No1,00060¢0¢$0−$600$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?Yes1,00064¢0¢$0−$640$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?No1,00078¢0¢$0−$780$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00044.9¢0¢$0−$449$0
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?No99567.8¢0¢$0−$675$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?60¢1,200$72087%73Sharp
BUY BrownsBrowns vs. Jets45¢100$4587%73Sharp
BUY BearsBears vs. Packers59¢500$29587%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?71¢143$10287%73Sharp
BUY UnderFalcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.555¢182$10087%73Sharp
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?75¢267$20187%73Sharp
BUY UnderFalcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.552¢962$50087%73Sharp
BUY PackersSpread: Packers (-4.5)52¢962$50087%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?38¢500$19087%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?53¢143$7687%73Sharp
BUY Under49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.549¢96$4787%73Sharp
BUY Under49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.549¢204$10087%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?80¢19$1587%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?64¢1,798$1,15187%73Sharp
BUY Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs54¢600$32487%73Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?57¢500$28587%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?85¢24$2087%73Sharp
BUY RamsSpread: Rams (-3.5)52¢250$13087%73Sharp
BUY Rams49ers vs. Rams67¢200$13487%73Sharp
BUY YesArc FDV above $500M one day after launch?84¢363$30587%73Sharp