sharpside
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Traders/Rank #856

FrozenParasite

0x1f9…4f1a
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$238kvol $4.54M
PnL 30d+$31.7kgains $57.3k · losses $6,256
PnL 7d−$911win rate 7d 90.1%
Win rate85.0%adj 83.7% · 30d 84.1%
Open value$244kcash n/a
Positions930 / 2,089open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.6%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$307kbelow peak −$1,276Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 85.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?No10.7k93.2¢97.2¢$10.4k+$428−$1,961
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No10.2k69.8¢97.2¢$9,905+$2,785+$175
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes6,68054.4¢84¢$5,612+$1,980+$715
Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes4,75487.4¢95.3¢$4,530+$373+$287
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Yes4,39781.5¢98.1¢$4,312+$727+$283
Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Yes4,29381.9¢79¢$3,391−$125$0
Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?No3,77786.6¢87.5¢$3,305+$32$0
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes3,02481.8¢96.5¢$2,916+$444+$64
Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes3,00275.2¢94¢$2,822+$564+$304
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes3,16481.9¢86.9¢$2,748+$156+$404
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?No2,40488.1¢95.9¢$2,305+$186+$263
Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia?No2,22284.5¢99.9¢$2,219+$341+$79
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes2,99441.4¢71.5¢$2,141+$902+$486
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No2,48668.2¢85.5¢$2,125+$430+$165
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes3,11545.7¢66.5¢$2,071+$649+$418
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?No2,27480.3¢88¢$2,001+$176+$317
Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?Yes2,00181.8¢97.2¢$1,944+$307+$30
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?No1,92271.9¢99.5¢$1,912+$531+$23
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No1,86989¢99.8¢$1,865+$202+$22
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Yes3,12351.9¢57.5¢$1,794+$175+$108
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No2,11365.5¢84¢$1,775+$391+$96
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes2,10670.5¢80.5¢$1,694+$209+$4,633
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?Yes1,76083.5¢95.9¢$1,687+$218+$271
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?No1,68276.1¢97.6¢$1,642+$362+$616
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes1,77682.6¢92¢$1,634+$167+$99
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?No2,03036.5¢79.5¢$1,614+$872+$87
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?No1,69487.3¢94.4¢$1,599+$120−$560
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1,77975.8¢86.5¢$1,538+$190+$305
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1,80878.3¢83.5¢$1,509+$94+$302
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes1,84839.5¢80.5¢$1,488+$757+$86
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes2,10636.2¢69.7¢$1,468+$705+$687
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes1,68775.9¢82.5¢$1,391+$112+$415
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes1,52841.3¢90.6¢$1,385+$753+$810
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?No1,42065.5¢97.1¢$1,378+$448+$454
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1,52976.3¢85.5¢$1,307+$141+$738
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?No1,39475¢93.5¢$1,303+$258−$109
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes1,69372.4¢75¢$1,270+$44+$24
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No1,30479.7¢97.3¢$1,268+$228+$30
Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election?Yes1,45978¢86.5¢$1,262+$125+$29
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes1,5740¢79¢$1,244+$1,244$0
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?No1,27071.5¢96.9¢$1,231+$322−$0.23
Will Daniel Carrillo Martínez win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?No1,22781.4¢99¢$1,215+$216+$224
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?No4,70143.6¢25.5¢$1,199−$851+$55
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?No1,31776.1¢87¢$1,145+$143+$399
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Yes1,46159.7¢77.5¢$1,132+$260+$811
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No1,22279.8¢90.4¢$1,104+$129+$9.94
Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No1,10092.4¢98.2¢$1,080+$63$0
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?No1,27665¢81.8¢$1,044+$214+$224
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No1,07575.4¢96.7¢$1,039+$229+$231
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?No1,07290.8¢94.5¢$1,013+$39$0
Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes1,08863¢91.5¢$995+$310+$35
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No1,07978.7¢91¢$982+$133+$435
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?Yes1,01984.9¢95.7¢$975+$110+$165
Will Hazeem Gbolarumi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?No99679.2¢97.7¢$973+$184+$32
Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?No1,04066.6¢93.3¢$970+$277$0
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?No1,76061.6¢54.9¢$965−$119−$10
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?Yes1,12479.9¢85.5¢$961+$63$0
Will Ana Dora Cabrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?No97794.2¢98.1¢$958+$38+$8.05
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes1,08447.4¢87.2¢$944+$431+$78
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes1,56150¢60.5¢$944+$164+$54
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No1,12970.1¢82.5¢$932+$140+$584
Will Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño win the next Piura mayoral elections?No92990.3¢99.9¢$927+$88$0
Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?No93092.8¢99.5¢$924+$62−$88
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?Yes1,00427¢92¢$924+$653+$143
Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?No94489.3¢96.6¢$912+$68+$22
Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Yes2,28119.1¢39.5¢$901+$465+$112
Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?No93894.6¢95.7¢$897+$9.63+$27
Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes1,18564.5¢75.5¢$895+$131+$86
Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?No89590.7¢98.8¢$884+$73+$153
Will Phil Owen win the next Brighton mayoral election?No91085.6¢96.8¢$880+$102+$27
Will Don Woodstock win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No93292.5¢94.3¢$878+$16+$65
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,79243.6¢30.5¢$852−$367+$67
Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes94182.2¢90.5¢$851+$78+$64
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes1,67331.6¢50.8¢$851+$323+$201
Will Xolani Vela be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?No87788.4¢95.2¢$834+$59+$5.14
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative?No85872.2¢96.4¢$827+$207+$178
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes1,19343.8¢69¢$823+$301$0
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?No91281¢89¢$811+$73+$130
Will Ilona Dvořáková be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?No81491.2¢99.3¢$808+$66$0
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Yes97950¢81.5¢$798+$308+$22
Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?No88164.5¢90.5¢$798+$229+$46
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?No83675.3¢94.5¢$790+$161+$133
Will Mike Hurley win the 2026 Burnaby mayoral election?Yes82480.8¢92.5¢$762+$96+$64
Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No79070.6¢96¢$759+$201$0
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes1,51339.8¢50¢$757+$154$0
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?Yes82076.2¢90.5¢$742+$117+$26
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?No77173.1¢95.9¢$739+$175$0
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes83874.4¢88¢$737+$114+$33
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?No83374.7¢85.5¢$712+$90$0
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes78086.1¢91.1¢$710+$39+$1,116
Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?No82975.9¢85.5¢$709+$80+$19
Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes96752.3¢72.5¢$701+$196$0
Will Thulani Shongwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No72179.2¢97.1¢$700+$129+$14
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?Yes77173.8¢89.5¢$690+$121+$221
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?No85167.9¢81¢$690+$112+$224
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,49863.7¢45.5¢$682−$273−$15
Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?No69283.5¢97.2¢$673+$95−$17
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?No75179.4¢89.5¢$672+$76+$164
Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes70380.1¢95¢$668+$105+$59
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Yes98248.2¢66.5¢$653+$180+$540

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?87.5¢1,931$1,68985%83Sharp
SELL NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?87.7¢161$14185%83Sharp
BUY YesWill South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?27.6¢478$13285%83Sharp
SELL YesWill South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?38¢753$28685%83Sharp
SELL YesWill South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?23.3¢340$7985%83Sharp
SELL YesWill South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?27.9¢536$15085%83Sharp
BUY NoFCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?95¢401$38185%83Sharp
BUY NoFCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?93.6¢5,308$4,96985%83Sharp
BUY NoFCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?92.6¢5,025$4,65585%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?31¢126$3985%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?56.5¢627$35485%83Sharp
SELL YesWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?57.2¢24$1485%83Sharp
BUY YesWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?11.3¢135$1585%83Sharp
BUY YesWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?34.3¢35$1285%83Sharp
BUY NoWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?48.4¢309$15085%83Sharp
BUY YesWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?21.8¢742$16285%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?59.5¢517$30785%83Sharp
BUY YesWill India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?90.5¢2,859$2,58785%83Sharp
BUY YesExact Score: CR Brasil 5 - 3 Botafogo FC?80¢130$10485%83Sharp
BUY YesExact Score: CR Brasil 5 - 4 Botafogo FC?80¢120$9685%83Sharp