sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,467

lomneivan

0x1fe…ed5e
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$133kvol $6.36M
PnL 30d−$137kgains $25.4k · losses $46.1k
PnL 7d−$45.7kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.7%adj 72.7% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$1.21Mcash n/a
Positions42 / 100open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.7%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$32.9kbelow peak −$169kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 80.7% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity16

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No211k86.1¢84.5¢$178k−$3,416+$1,397
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes190k69.5¢62.5¢$119k−$13.3k$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes420k9¢27.5¢$116k+$77.7k+$12
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes121k85.6¢85.5¢$104k−$71$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No278k49.7¢36.5¢$101k−$36.7k$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No238k44.6¢38.5¢$91.8k−$14.5k$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No137k70.1¢61.5¢$84.3k−$11.7k$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes198k43.9¢38.5¢$76.2k−$10.7k$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No167k60¢42.1¢$70.1k−$29.9k$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No105k56.6¢55.5¢$58.4k−$1,168$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes131k61.6¢42.5¢$55.5k−$25.0k$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes120k38.7¢35.5¢$42.5k−$3,821$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes79.5k32.3¢42.5¢$33.8k+$8,078$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes40.1k68¢71.5¢$28.7k+$1,404$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes48.2k58.3¢55.5¢$26.8k−$1,351$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No16.6k34¢42.5¢$7,051+$1,410$0
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?No6,19630.9¢43.5¢$2,695+$778$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No3,57364.1¢73.5¢$2,626+$335$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No8,01618.2¢23.3¢$1,864+$407$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No9,00028¢20¢$1,800−$720$0
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes9,00027.7¢19¢$1,710−$784$0
2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes420k9¢0.3¢$1,050−$36.8k$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?No36083¢85.5¢$308+$9.00$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes25983¢83.5¢$216+$1.30$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes82.9k9.5¢0.1¢$83−$7,817+$1,435
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes11.5k6.1¢0.1¢$5.73−$696$0
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No179k15.4¢0¢$0−$27.5k−$5,100
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes133k54¢0¢$0−$71.8k−$991
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes40.9k38.7¢0¢$0−$15.8k−$356
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes22.2k0.4¢0¢$0−$91−$0.18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No17.5k43.2¢0¢$0−$7,557−$24
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes9,8247¢0¢$0−$688$0
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?No9,40071.4¢0¢$0−$6,716−$709
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes8,2369.3¢0¢$0−$769−$111
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?Yes6,01614.9¢0¢$0−$896$0
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Yes1,6040.2¢0¢$0−$3.70−$0.04
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?Yes1,3003¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No1,15062¢0¢$0−$713−$11
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes7795¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Yes42810¢0¢$0−$43−$1.54
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?Yes42669.6¢0¢$0−$296−$70
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?No23565¢0¢$0−$153$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?40.9¢2,662$1,08981%51
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?41¢9,357$3,83681%51
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?67¢251$16881%51
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?67¢5$3.3581%51
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House7¢195k$13.7k81%51Whale
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.6¢34.5k$22181%51
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House36¢420k$151k81%51Whale
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House0.7¢100$0.7081%51
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House7¢100$7.0081%51
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House36¢100$3681%51
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?87¢30.8k$26.8k81%51Whale
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?87¢35.3k$30.7k81%51Whale
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?41¢24.4k$10.0k81%51Whale
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?40.9¢70.7k$28.9k81%51Whale
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?71¢31.6k$22.5k81%51Whale
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?71¢78.1k$55.4k81%51Whale
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?38.9¢2,532$98581%51
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?39¢9,372$3,65581%51
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?58¢12.7k$7,35481%51
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?86¢3,050$2,62381%51