PnL all-time+$107kvol $6.59M
PnL 30d+$7,276gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4.14win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.1%adj 58.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$16.6kcash n/a
Positions13 / 524open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.7%of equity peak
Account age4.5ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$90.0kbelow peak −$49.6kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 59.1% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$68.3k[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$18.3kWill Union win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed+$16.0kEigenLayer airdrop by June 30? · Noclosed+$15.6kMexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win? · Yesclosed+$10.7k
Worst markets
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed−$26.4kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$20.8kWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yesopen−$17.2kFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? · Yesclosed−$14.5kWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$10.7k
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 51.3k | 58¢ | 24.5¢ | $12.6k | −$17.2k | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 4,145 | 81.1¢ | 96.8¢ | $4,012 | +$650 | $0 | |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | 15.1k | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,791 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 10,000 | 84.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,467 | −$183 | |
| Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | No | 7,840 | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,999 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 6,000 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,960 | $0 | |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,526 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$336 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31? | Yes | 968 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$155 | $0 | |
| Will Natus Vincere win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament? | Yes | 958 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | Yes | 500 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$160 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 230 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$76 | $0 | |
| IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 197 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | No | 50 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.38 |
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