PnL all-time+$170kvol $863k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.4%adj 59.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$80cash n/a
Positions13 / 141open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.6%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$170kbelow peak −$22.3kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 61.4% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26? · Yesclosed+$104kWill MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May? · Yesclosed+$34.8kWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July? · Noclosed+$33.9kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12? · Noclosed+$12.9kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5? · Yesclosed+$6,321
Worst markets
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? · Yesopen−$20.1kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12? · Yesclosed−$10.3kWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July? · Yesclosed−$3,039Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC before July? · Yesclosed−$1,935Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore · Punjab Kingsclosed−$1,293
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 30 | 56.4¢ | 100¢ | $30 | +$13 | −$3.38 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | 15 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $15 | +$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 15 | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | $15 | +$0.44 | +$0.45 | |
| US national Ethereum reserve in 2025? | No | 10 | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$2.57 | +$0.13 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | No | 10 | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$1.27 | +$0.08 | |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? | Yes | 35.7k | 56.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.1k | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 34 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.42 | +$7.77 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | Yes | 20 | 36.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.38 | +$0.64 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 15 | 26.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.92 | −$0.98 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 13 | 47.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.02 | +$0.03 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 5 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.45 | +$2.05 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | No | 5 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.95 | −$1.35 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 5 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | +$3.20 |
Recent trades
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