PnL all-time+$3,596vol $99.4k
PnL 30d+$120gains $0 · losses $31
PnL 7d+$39win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.5%adj 40.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,579cash n/a
Positions10 / 151open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,811below peak −$123Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 38.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$2,286MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$848Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? · Yesclosed+$825Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$354Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$306
Worst markets
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? · Yesclosed−$1,122MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$228Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$218Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yesclosed−$170Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yesclosed−$130
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 978 | 68.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $827 | +$155 | +$46 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 380 | 71¢ | 83.5¢ | $317 | +$48 | +$13 | |
| 3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 385 | 47.9¢ | 71¢ | $273 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 88¢ | 54.5¢ | $109 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 42 | 71.2¢ | 69¢ | $29 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 40 | 45.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $9.00 | −$9.20 | −$0.50 | |
| Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 66¢ | 31.5¢ | $6.30 | −$6.90 | $0 | |
| Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 8 | 58.2¢ | 51.5¢ | $4.29 | −$0.56 | $0 | |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | 65¢ | 19¢ | $3.80 | −$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 23 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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