sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #11,019

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0x20b…2984
WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$289vol $34.1k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.0%adj 62.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,651cash n/a
Positions37 / 67open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.0%of equity peak
Account age3.2ylast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$289below peak −$235Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.0% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable61
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Trump say "fake news" at debate? · Noclosed+$550SBF jail by August 31? · Yesclosed+$426Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yesclosed+$195Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate? · Noclosed+$184Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? · Yesclosed+$175

Worst markets

SBF sentence between 20 and 30 years? · Noclosed−$710SBF sentence between 40 and 50 years? · Yesclosed−$460Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP? · Noopen−$220Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate? · Noclosed−$216Will Trump say "cat" at debate? · Noclosed−$204

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No40058¢100¢$400+$168$0
Will Trump say "Cuba" during the State of the Union address?No22450.8¢100¢$224+$110$0
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No20030.9¢100¢$200+$138$0
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?No20056.7¢100¢$200+$87$0
Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No20081¢100¢$200+$38$0
Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No18567¢100¢$185+$61$0
Will Trump say "Caine" during the State of the Union address?No16955¢100¢$169+$76$0
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No15890¢100¢$158+$16$0
Will Trump say "Thune" during the State of the Union address?No14947¢100¢$149+$79$0
Will Trump say "Walz" during the State of the Union address?No13780.6¢100¢$137+$27$0
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No13567¢100¢$135+$45$0
Will Trump say "Kavanaugh" during the State of the Union address?No10552¢100¢$105+$50$0
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during the State of the Union address?No8988.7¢100¢$89+$10$0
Will Trump say "Lincoln" during the State of the Union address?No8754.3¢100¢$87+$40$0
Will Trump say "Newsom" or "Newscum" during the State of the Union address?No8075¢100¢$80+$20$0
Will Trump say "Capital of the World" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No3368¢100¢$33+$11$0
Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No3170¢100¢$31+$9.30$0
Will Trump say "Reagan" during the State of the Union address?No2669.8¢100¢$26+$7.82$0
Will Trump say "Panama" during the State of the Union address?No2464.2¢100¢$24+$8.67$0
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No2074¢100¢$20+$5.20$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes2,7001.3¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?No1,67013.2¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No37551.8¢0¢$0−$194$0
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerDing30050¢0¢$0−$150$0
Saints vs. DolphinsSaints30031¢0¢$0−$93$0
Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?Yes21075¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?No20036.4¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No20078¢0¢$0−$156$0
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?No20081¢0¢$0−$162$0
Will Trump say "Memphis" during the State of the Union address?No19059.3¢0¢$0−$112$0
Will Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address?No12052.1¢0¢$0−$62$0
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No11519¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Trump say "West Virginia" during the State of the Union address?No10565¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?No9760¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during the State of the Union address?No9650¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Trump say "New Orleans" during the State of the Union address?No5982.3¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Trump say "North Carolina" during the State of the Union address?No5756¢0¢$0−$32$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Trump say "Los Angeles" during the State of the Union address?50¢96$4870%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Cuba" during the State of the Union address?50.8¢224$11470%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?81¢200$16270%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "New Orleans" during the State of the Union address?82.3¢59$4970%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Panama" during the State of the Union address?64.2¢24$1670%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "West Virginia" during the State of the Union address?65¢105$6870%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Memphis" during the State of the Union address?59.3¢190$11270%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?56.7¢200$11370%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "North Carolina" during the State of the Union address?56¢57$3270%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address?52.1¢120$6270%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?36.4¢200$7370%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during the State of the Union address?88.7¢89$7970%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Reagan" during the State of the Union address?69.8¢26$1870%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?60¢97$5870%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Thune" during the State of the Union address?47¢149$7070%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during the 2026 State of the Union address?74¢20$1570%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Green New Scam" during the 2026 State of the Union address?51.8¢375$19470%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Newsom" or "Newscum" during the State of the Union address?75¢80$6070%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Walz" during the State of the Union address?80.5¢115$9270%24
BUY NoWill Trump say "Caine" during the State of the Union address?55¢169$9370%24