sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,059

rondon89

0x217…3fb4
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$476vol $85.2k
PnL 30d−$68gains $57 · losses $2.26
PnL 7d+$41win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.5%adj 51.4% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$1,877cash n/a
Positions50 / 256open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$689below peak −$1,588Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.5% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes72786.7¢97.7¢$710+$80−$0.35
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes42660.6¢46.5¢$198−$60−$4.94
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?Yes19191¢98.3¢$187+$14+$0.82
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?No16091¢99.8¢$160+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes11993.7¢96.6¢$115+$3.33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?Yes6991¢96.4¢$67+$3.73$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes23717¢21.5¢$51+$11−$18
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes7156¢70.5¢$50+$10$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No5558.7¢88¢$48+$16+$14
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Yes4893.4¢96.9¢$46+$1.67−$0.12
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Yes4892¢95¢$45+$1.43+$0.63
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No4381.3¢100¢$43+$8.09+$15
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes5581¢72.5¢$40−$4.67−$4.38
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No3692.1¢96.7¢$35+$1.64+$2.82
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No3239¢68.5¢$22+$9.33+$2.16
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No1095¢95.5¢$9.57+$0.05$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes4610¢20.5¢$9.47+$4.85+$2.88
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,37223.5¢0.5¢$7.55−$315−$209
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes874¢93.5¢$7.48+$1.56−$12
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4662.4¢1.4¢$6.29−$4.95$0
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes989¢62¢$5.49−$2.39+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes7985.3¢6.5¢$5.12−$62$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2002.9¢1.2¢$2.30−$3.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?No275¢92.5¢$2.17+$0.41−$1.81
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,5940.8¢0.1¢$1.80−$27$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,6113.3¢0.1¢$0.81−$52$0
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes4465¢1.8¢$0.77−$28$0
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes392¢4.1¢$0.13−$2.84−$2.37
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes735.8¢0.1¢$0.04−$4.19+$2.00
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2759.6¢0.1¢$0.01−$16−$8.65
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?No48565.5¢0¢$0−$318−$0.10
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?No45666.2¢0¢$0−$302−$3.99
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes3347.4¢0¢$0−$25+$46
Haiti elections delayed again?No30554¢0¢$0−$165−$32
Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes2147.2¢0¢$0−$15−$0.40
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?No17525.4¢0¢$0−$45−$0.64
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?No15873.4¢0¢$0−$116$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No1275¢0¢$0−$6.37−$0.24
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?Yes11817.3¢0¢$0−$21−$0.68
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes10948¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Yes5322¢0¢$0−$12−$2.96
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes4414¢0¢$0−$6.14−$1.39
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes3623¢0¢$0−$8.22$0
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes3040¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?Yes2425¢0¢$0−$5.98$0
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?Yes2074¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes1915¢0¢$0−$2.90$0
Will José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes1065¢0¢$0−$6.50−$5.84
Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?Yes313¢0¢$0−$0.35−$0.04
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes217.2¢0¢$0−$0.30−$1.44

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?96¢1$0.5252%35
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?94¢11$1052%35
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?94¢24$2252%35
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?34¢3$1.1752%35
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?31¢2$0.7152%35
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?31¢1$0.3352%35
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?31¢3$0.7852%35
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?31¢4$1.3752%35
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?31¢0$0.0252%35
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?94¢1$0.6152%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?20¢35$6.9152%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18.6¢1$0.1252%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18.5¢3$0.6352%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18.4¢40$7.4252%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16.2¢2$0.3252%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢33$5.3152%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢1$0.1252%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.4¢5$0.6652%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.6¢11$1.5952%35
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.7¢40$5.8552%35