sharpside
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JosephGould9665

0x217…09de
PoliticsCultureOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$330vol $119k
PnL 30d+$175gains $182 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.3%adj 51.9% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,854cash n/a
Positions24 / 145open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$39below peak −$832Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.3% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX83987¢100¢$839+$109$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic76660¢95.5¢$732+$272$0
FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5Under23659.6¢100¢$236+$95$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No7925.8¢59.4¢$47+$27$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes232¢14.5¢$0.28−$0.33$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes216¢4.7¢$0.09−$0.23$0
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Yes77627¢0¢$0−$210−$2.96
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes76532¢0¢$0−$245+$267
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?Yes51721¢0¢$0−$109$0
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?No49484¢0¢$0−$415$0
Will "Amen" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)Yes48611¢0¢$0−$53$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown44084¢0¢$0−$370$0
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?Yes34329.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?Yes31930¢0¢$0−$96$0
Bulls vs. HeatHeat24611.8¢0¢$0−$29$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over19380¢0¢$0−$154$0
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 6?Negative17549.4¢0¢$0−$86$0
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss Rebels13578.8¢0¢$0−$106$0
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?Yes11111¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes842.6¢0¢$0−$2.18$0
Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes5331¢0¢$0−$16−$100
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes94.1¢0¢$0−$0.35+$0.37
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes62.7¢0¢$0−$0.16−$0.14
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes113¢0¢$0−$0.13+$2.50

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UnderFC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.559.6¢236$14152%24
SELL NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score60¢678$40752%24
SELL NoWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?88¢691$60852%24
BUY NoWill more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?87¢691$60152%24
BUY NoManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score69¢678$46852%24
BUY NoWill the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?84¢494$41552%24
SELL NoWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?89.9¢27$2452%24
SELL NoWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?23¢1,116$25752%24
SELL NoMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?85¢946$80452%24
SELL NoWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?37¢502$18652%24
BUY NoWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?88.9¢27$2452%24
BUY NoMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?85¢946$80452%24
BUY NoWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?25.8¢79$2052%24
BUY NoWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?45¢1,116$50252%24
BUY NoWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?65¢502$32652%24
SELL NoWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-01?76¢315$23952%24
SELL NoWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-01?76¢606$46152%24
BUY NoWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-01?79¢921$72852%24
SELL NoWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?61¢84$5152%24
SELL YesWill Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?0.1¢11$0.0152%24