sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

DFC

0x21a…0b9e
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,387vol $71.9k
PnL 30d−$91gains $69 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$57win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.6%adj 85.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,815cash n/a
Positions44 / 310open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

84/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 87.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Noopen+$361Bolsonaro guilty? · Yesclosed+$330Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? · Yesclosed+$177Bolsonaro arrested before May? · Noclosed+$136Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June? · Noclosed+$115

Worst markets

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? · Noclosed−$352Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Spursclosed−$299Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? · Yesclosed−$200Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? · Noclosed−$200Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat? · Noclosed−$200

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No1,98075.8¢94¢$1,861+$361$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No52595.3¢94.3¢$495−$5.09$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No31994¢94.5¢$302+$1.60$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No26395¢94.5¢$249−$1.32$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No25678¢91.5¢$234+$35$0
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No23585.1¢91¢$214+$14$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes22290¢93¢$207+$6.67$0
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes21294.5¢94.2¢$199−$0.69$0
Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No20995.5¢94.5¢$198−$2.09$0
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?No24083.2¢82¢$197−$2.79$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No23884¢82.5¢$196−$3.57$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No26276.4¢73.5¢$192−$7.64$0
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes22290¢71.6¢$159−$41$0
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No13772.9¢96.5¢$132+$32$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No12182¢96¢$116+$17$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13077.1¢78.9¢$102+$2.27$0
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Yes13275.5¢76.5¢$101+$1.33$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No13375¢74.5¢$99−$0.67$0
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No12182.9¢82¢$99−$1.11$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes11587¢85.5¢$98−$1.72$0
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes13077¢74.5¢$97−$3.25$0
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?No13971.8¢69¢$96−$3.84$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes40649.2¢22.5¢$91−$109$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10946¢71.5¢$78+$28$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?90¢222$20088%84Sharp
BUY YesUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?77¢130$10088%84Sharp
BUY NoEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?82.9¢121$10088%84Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢238$20088%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?95.3¢525$50088%84Sharp
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?75¢133$10088%84Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?90¢222$20088%84Sharp
BUY NoUS strike on Colombia by December 31?74¢135$10088%84Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?77.1¢130$10088%84Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?94¢319$30088%84Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?83.2¢240$20088%84Sharp
BUY NoIsrael military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?71.8¢139$10088%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?95.5¢209$20088%84Sharp
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?95¢263$25088%84Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement?94.5¢212$20088%84Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?87¢115$10088%84Sharp
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?75.5¢132$10088%84Sharp
BUY NoWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?85.1¢235$20088%84Sharp
BUY NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?87.5¢114$10088%84Sharp
BUY UnderMexico vs. England: O/U 4.592¢163$15088%84Sharp