sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

data-sync

0x21a…10d2
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$490vol $11.9k
PnL 30d+$422gains $842 · losses $374
PnL 7d+$5.94win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate76.2%adj 67.7% · 30d 75.7%
Open value$4,369cash n/a
Positions57 / 100open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.3%of equity peak
Account age35dlast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$406below peak −$23Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Noclosed+$267Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 14-20? · Yesclosed+$144Meta (META) Up or Down on October 1? · Downclosed+$86Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed+$61Will Meta (META) close at $710-$720 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? · Yesclosed+$48

Worst markets

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yesclosed−$101Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Noclosed−$101Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Noclosed−$82Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$61Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · Yesopen−$41

Open positions · 57

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes31763¢70.5¢$224+$24$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes27074¢71¢$192−$8.10$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes79925¢23.5¢$188−$12$0
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No22688.3¢82.2¢$186−$14$0
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes14967¢89¢$133+$33$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes39733¢32.5¢$129−$1.99$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No14569¢86.5¢$125+$25$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes15461¢80.5¢$124+$30$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No12477¢94.5¢$117+$22$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes21446.6¢54.3¢$116+$17$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes18255¢58.5¢$106+$6.36$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes14171¢75.5¢$106+$6.33$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No13375¢79.5¢$106+$6.00$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No10694¢98.6¢$105+$4.84$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No11686¢89.5¢$104+$4.07$0
US recession by end of 2026?No11278¢92.5¢$104+$16$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes12083¢85.5¢$103+$3.01$0
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No11190¢92.5¢$103+$2.78$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Yes10595¢97¢$102+$2.10$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo26338¢38.5¢$101+$1.31$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No10892.3¢93.2¢$101+$0.92$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No10593¢95.5¢$100+$2.63$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic10992¢91.5¢$99−$0.54$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No11190¢89.5¢$99−$0.56$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10793¢90.5¢$97−$2.69$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No11587¢84.5¢$97−$2.87$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No13276¢71.5¢$94−$5.92$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No10892.3¢86.5¢$94−$6.33$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes26338¢35.5¢$93−$6.57$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No25040¢36.5¢$91−$8.74$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes10992¢79.5¢$86−$14$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No13574¢62.5¢$84−$16$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No12078.2¢66.5¢$80−$14$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes10986¢69.5¢$76−$18$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes27037¢26.5¢$72−$28$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No25031¢24.5¢$61−$16$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Yes10992¢54.5¢$59−$41$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes18815¢17.5¢$33+$4.69$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes3385¢95.1¢$31+$3.35$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes3483¢92.5¢$31+$3.22$0
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No3380¢90¢$30+$3.29$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes13763.9¢19.5¢$27−$61$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes3484¢68.5¢$23−$5.19$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No4253.9¢47.7¢$20−$2.63$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1753¢87.8¢$15+$5.95$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No1756¢87.5¢$15+$5.28$0
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No1455.1¢97.7¢$14+$6.17$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3625¢3.7¢$13−$4.89$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No3229¢40.5¢$13+$3.72$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1285.5¢93.5¢$11+$0.94$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No1375¢80¢$11+$0.67$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1180¢83.5¢$9.46+$0.40$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes7228¢6.6¢$4.72−$15$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes3581¢11.5¢$4.00−$24$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No486¢79¢$3.44−$0.30$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No536¢29.5¢$1.33−$0.29$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes330¢20.5¢$0.67−$0.31$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?25¢799$20076%54
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?63¢317$20076%54
BUY NoWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?88.3¢226$20076%54
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?94¢106$10076%54
BUY AnthropicAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?92¢109$10076%54
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?37¢270$10076%54
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?27¢370$10076%54
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?90.7¢110$10076%54
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?92¢109$10076%54
BUY NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?90¢111$10076%54
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by December 31?76¢132$10076%54
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?38¢263$10076%54
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?92.3¢108$10076%54
BUY YesAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?92¢109$10076%54
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?92.3¢108$10076%54
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House38¢263$10076%54
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢107$10076%54
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?55¢182$10076%54
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?75¢133$10076%54
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?46.6¢214$10076%54