sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

gandalf

0x21f…ed12
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,704vol $19.9M
PnL 30d+$66gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$454win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.3%adj 57.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$28.4kcash n/a
Positions293 / 1,087open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5.9ylast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,517below peak −$24.7kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 57.3% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff? · Yesclosed+$7,882Will Biden pardon Fauci? · Yesclosed+$7,100Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? · Yesclosed+$6,080Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025? · Yesclosed+$5,167Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$4,705

Worst markets

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$11.8kWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed−$9,350US recession in 2025? · Yesopen−$7,600Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$7,512No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? · Noclosed−$6,754

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k2.4¢16.1¢$3,210+$2,721+$313
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes234k0.8¢1¢$2,227+$407$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-06 House seat?Yes2,00090¢97.2¢$1,943+$143$0
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?Yes2,00092¢95.6¢$1,911+$71$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2,00078¢91.5¢$1,830+$270$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,8690¢19.9¢$1,562+$1,562$0
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No1,40072.5¢97.4¢$1,364+$348+$22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10,0008¢13.1¢$1,305+$505+$4,200
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes4,39451¢28.5¢$1,252−$989$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k4.2¢5.9¢$1,190+$344+$277
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k11¢5.1¢$1,019−$1,179$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes1,00091¢95.5¢$955+$45$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes59.3k1.3¢1.3¢$742−$18+$3.38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No70385¢96.5¢$678+$81+$15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.0k3¢3.2¢$630+$30+$158
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes100.0k1.3¢0.5¢$550−$750$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,4070¢10.4¢$456+$456$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes12.9k6¢2.8¢$355−$420+$920
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes16.6k4¢2¢$324−$341+$521
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,1731.4¢6.3¢$263+$206+$463
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.0k3.3¢2.5¢$250−$76+$77
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢2.5¢$245+$176$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes31022¢73.5¢$228+$160$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9,6071.1¢2.4¢$226+$125+$58
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢2.3¢$225+$156$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,2472.9¢3.5¢$216+$32+$326
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢2.1¢$205+$136$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10,0003.5¢2.1¢$205−$149+$124
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?No25221¢73.5¢$185+$132$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes20.0k4¢0.9¢$170−$630$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.0k3.6¢1.7¢$165−$195$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢3.1¢$156+$118$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢1.4¢$135+$66$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢1.7¢$130+$130$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k1¢0.7¢$130−$78$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢1.4¢$111+$111$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢1.4¢$107+$107$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,7190¢1.4¢$104+$104$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?Yes2,8009¢3.1¢$87−$165$0
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.9¢$85+$16$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.7¢$70+$0.71$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢1.1¢$54+$15$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?No5676.9¢94.4¢$53+$9.82$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.1k0.9¢0.4¢$53−$86$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.1k1.1¢0.4¢$53−$106$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.7¢$51+$51$0
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k1.1¢0.3¢$50−$179$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.5¢$43+$43$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,6041.9¢1.7¢$43−$6.46$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,7680.8¢1.4¢$37+$15+$158
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes24.4k0.9¢0.2¢$37−$181$0
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.4¢$35−$34$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10,0002.3¢0.4¢$35−$192$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.3¢$25−$44$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.5¢$23−$15$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,5333¢0.7¢$23−$83+$461
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.1k0.9¢0.2¢$23−$116$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,7521.2¢0.5¢$21−$24$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.4¢$18−$20$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.4¢$18−$20$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,9501.3¢0.3¢$17−$71+$16
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,6520.7¢0.3¢$17−$29+$1,239
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.2¢$15−$54$0
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,4451¢0.2¢$14−$85+$164
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.3¢$13−$25$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.3¢$13−$25$0
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7,9731¢0.2¢$12−$64+$4.35
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.2¢$12+$12$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.2¢$12+$12$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.2¢$12+$12$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k0.9¢0.1¢$10.00−$169$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9360¢0.9¢$7.96+$7.96$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.2¢$7.68−$31$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.2¢$7.68−$31$0
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.2¢$7.68−$31$0
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.2¢$7.68−$31$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,1750¢0.2¢$6.26+$6.26$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,1180.7¢0.1¢$5.12−$33$0
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.1¢$5.00−$64$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8,2600.9¢0.1¢$4.13−$74+$3.87
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.1¢$3.95+$3.95$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.1¢$3.95+$3.95$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,9090¢0.1¢$3.95+$3.95$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?1.5¢39.6k$60357%38
SELL NoGTA VI released before June 2026?98.6¢1,000$98657%38
BUY YesWill Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?1.5¢2,020$3057%38
BUY NoWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?24.9¢1,171$29157%38
SELL YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.6¢5,118$8257%38
SELL YesWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢8,959$8157%38
SELL YesWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1¢5,118$5157%38
SELL YesWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1.7¢1,590$2757%38
BUY YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2.8¢17.4k$48157%38
SELL YesWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0.1¢2,525$2.5357%38
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?9¢2,350$21257%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?91¢1,000$91057%38
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: Other0.7¢23.2k$16857%38
BUY NoWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?2.8¢1,000$2857%38
BUY NoWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?2.3¢150$3.4557%38
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?1.2¢300$3.6057%38
BUY YesWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0.1¢2,643$2.6457%38
BUY YesWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.2¢3,752$4557%38
SELL YesWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.6¢7,909$4757%38
BUY YesWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.8¢234k$1,82057%38