PnL all-time+$177kvol $18.1M
PnL 30d+$843gains $271 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$844win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate71.1%adj 70.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,790cash n/a
Positions12 / 4,994open / all-time
Max drawdown−39.4%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$181kbelow peak −$14.0kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 71.1% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Noclosed+$21.8kWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Noclosed+$5,812Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · Yesclosed+$5,521Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · Yesclosed+$4,316Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3? · Yesclosed+$4,236
Worst markets
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election? · Yesclosed−$8,990Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yesclosed−$3,691US recession in 2025? · Yesclosed−$3,539Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June? · Yesclosed−$2,750Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Friday? · Noclosed−$1,955
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 722 | 69.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $682 | +$180 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 555 | 64¢ | 63.5¢ | $352 | −$2.77 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 555 | 66¢ | 62.5¢ | $347 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 222 | 82¢ | 96.3¢ | $214 | +$32 | $0 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 97.4¢ | $195 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 4,579 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$129 | $0 | |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 1,140 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$228 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 873 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | Finland | 864 | 21.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$188 | $0 | |
| Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 127 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 54 | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.69 | $0 | |
| BitBoy convicted? | Yes | 17 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.14 | +$1.62 |
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