sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,077

pollybond

0x224…e0e7
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,470vol $168k
PnL 30d+$2,067gains $2,572 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$852win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 72.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$76.6kcash n/a
Positions10 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.6%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.9kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d65
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Nothing hereNo losing markets recorded — or not enough history.

Open positions · 10

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No18.3k73.5¢85.5¢$15.6k+$2,189$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No16.0k85¢91.5¢$14.6k+$1,040$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No13.1k89.9¢97.2¢$12.8k+$955+$67
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No13.5k76.8¢89.5¢$12.1k+$1,710$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No12.1k87.8¢95.5¢$11.5k+$935$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No4,00090¢92.5¢$3,700+$100$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No3,00093¢97.9¢$2,936+$146$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1,88885¢97¢$1,830+$226$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No1,50092.6¢97.7¢$1,465+$76$0
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No5061¢90.5¢$45+$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢4,251$3,656100%43
SELL NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95.7¢5,588$5,348100%43
BUY NoUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?86¢3,140$2,700100%43
BUY NoUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?84¢1,009$848100%43
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?91¢4,633$4,216100%43
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?91¢5,000$4,550100%43
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?89¢3,699$3,292100%43
BUY NoUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?62¢1,708$1,059100%43
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?70¢3,847$2,693100%43
BUY NoIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?99.6¢4,197$4,181100%43
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?93.9¢2,606$2,447100%43
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?92¢4,176$3,842100%43
BUY NoIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?61¢195$119100%43
BUY NoIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?83¢428$355100%43
BUY NoIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?84¢1,000$840100%43
BUY NoIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?84¢1,000$840100%43
BUY NoIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?90.7¢1,000$907100%43
BUY NoIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?90.6¢205$186100%43
BUY NoIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?88.6¢200$177100%43
BUY NoIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?96.6¢100$97100%43