sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,765

Spiffy-Win

0x225…422a
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.4kvol $956k
PnL 30d+$5,650gains $9,594 · losses $206
PnL 7d−$1,622win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate64.2%adj 62.9% · 30d 91.7%
Open value$28.0kcash n/a
Positions162 / 357open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$24.8kbelow peak −$1,976Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 64.2% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8,97626.4¢52.3¢$4,690+$2,320$0
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No4,00177.9¢89¢$3,561+$444+$112
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No3,43966¢91.5¢$3,147+$879$0
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No2,58380.5¢93¢$2,403+$323$0
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?No5,39434¢39¢$2,103+$270$0
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes2,92533.4¢41¢$1,199+$224$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No3,77728.8¢28.5¢$1,076−$10$0
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No83775.9¢97.4¢$815+$180$0
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No82881.3¢97.9¢$811+$137$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes7,4024¢10.1¢$748+$448$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes1,37323.3¢51.5¢$707+$387$0
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes1,26220.8¢54.5¢$688+$426$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes1,39225.3¢42.5¢$591+$239$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00029¢28.5¢$570−$10$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes2,44419.4¢18.5¢$452−$21$0
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?No50150¢82.5¢$413+$163$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes1,42724¢27¢$385+$43$0
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes69034.6¢54¢$372+$133+$0.87
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?No1,24227.6¢27.5¢$341−$1.57$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No2,50014¢13.5¢$338−$12$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes99941.3¢23.5¢$235−$178$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes55523¢37.3¢$207+$80$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes70126¢28.5¢$200+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes33346¢53.5¢$178+$25$0
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?No79411¢19.6¢$155+$68$0
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No15088.3¢95¢$142+$9.93$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes33341¢41.5¢$138+$1.67$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2,5836.4¢5.1¢$132−$34$0
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No12885¢93¢$119+$10$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes1,00012¢11.5¢$115−$5.00$0
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?Yes1,5556.5¢7.1¢$110+$8.59$0
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1,8694.9¢5.7¢$106+$15$0
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?Yes29530.8¢35.5¢$105+$14$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes33926¢27.5¢$93+$5.09$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI1,8274.3¢4.7¢$86+$7.31$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8,0381.5¢1.1¢$84−$36$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes1,0006¢6.5¢$65+$5.00$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No22255¢28.4¢$63−$59$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No1,0008¢6¢$60−$20$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No1,1115¢3.8¢$42−$14$0
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,1093.7¢3.4¢$37−$4.06$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?No5127¢7¢$36$0$0
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Yes10810.2¢29¢$31+$20$0
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes20027.7¢11¢$22−$33$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No5556¢3.7¢$21−$13$0
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes4030.9¢4.5¢$18+$15$0
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17?No6318.9¢1.6¢$10−$46$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2,2220.9¢0.4¢$7.78−$12$0
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes5982.5¢1.3¢$7.47−$7.49$0
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes2771.3¢0.5¢$1.39−$2.11$0
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,4350.1¢0.1¢$0.72−$0.72$0
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,0003¢0.1¢$0.50−$29$0
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,0006.5¢0.1¢$0.50−$65$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes5009¢0.1¢$0.25−$45$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes77.8k0.4¢0¢$0−$331+$380
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes9,4871¢0¢$0−$92−$2.73
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes7,1700.1¢0¢$0−$7.16−$0.21
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?Yes7,1220.1¢0¢$0−$7.11−$0.21
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Yes7,0620.1¢0¢$0−$7.05−$0.21
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Yes6,3410.3¢0¢$0−$17−$0.52
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes6,3250.1¢0¢$0−$6.32−$0.19
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Yes5,8350.1¢0¢$0−$5.83−$0.17
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes5,71112.8¢0¢$0−$728−$12
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes5,7061.6¢0¢$0−$93−$4.02
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5,6870.1¢0¢$0−$5.68−$0.23
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?Yes5,1810.1¢0¢$0−$5.18−$0.16
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5,00023.1¢0¢$0−$1,156−$44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes4,9993.8¢0¢$0−$190+$74
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No4,8070.5¢0¢$0−$24−$0.96
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,80022.4¢0¢$0−$852−$20
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes3,49916.1¢0¢$0−$564−$14
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Yes3,4852.8¢0¢$0−$96−$2.06
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?No3,4530.9¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes3,3207.2¢0¢$0−$239−$4.59
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No2,9143¢0¢$0−$88−$1.14
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Yes2,8380.3¢0¢$0−$9.41−$0.28
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes2,7528.2¢0¢$0−$226+$164
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,7331¢0¢$0−$27−$1.35
Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be less than 50k?Yes2,6955¢0¢$0−$134−$0.42
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No2,55520.9¢0¢$0−$534$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes2,3829.1¢0¢$0−$218−$7.40
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes2,32211.6¢0¢$0−$269−$9.26
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No2,26826.5¢0¢$0−$600−$13
Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?No2,24116.5¢0¢$0−$370−$84
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?No2,17812.7¢0¢$0−$276−$67
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?No2,14015.3¢0¢$0−$327−$2.99
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes1,94213.8¢0¢$0−$267−$6.60
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No1,87617.7¢0¢$0−$332−$11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No1,7005.6¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Yes1,6134.4¢0¢$0−$71−$2.05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No1,50046.3¢0¢$0−$694−$0.28
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?Yes1,4483.6¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes1,44427.4¢0¢$0−$396−$14
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?Yes1,41326.8¢0¢$0−$379−$11
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?No1,39128.2¢0¢$0−$393−$2.25
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes1,20030¢0¢$0−$360−$9.29
Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?No1,20015.4¢0¢$0−$185+$12
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes1,15230.5¢0¢$0−$351−$9.35
Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 125k and 145k?Yes1,04913.1¢0¢$0−$138−$5.86
Will Sorry Baby be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes1,0305¢0¢$0−$52$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?30.8¢295$9164%69
BUY NoWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?34¢5,394$1,83464%69
SELL YesWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?66¢2,392$1,57964%69
SELL YesWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?66¢2,392$1,57964%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?24¢1,427$34264%69
BUY YesWill Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?0.1¢5,687$5.6964%69
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?25.3¢1,000$25364%69
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?24.1¢1,000$24164%69
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?22.7¢500$11364%69
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?22.7¢1,275$28964%69
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?21.7¢539$11764%69
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?20.9¢686$14364%69
BUY YesWill Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?38.9¢1,340$52164%69
BUY YesWill "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?15.8¢567$8964%69
BUY YesWill "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?22.3¢406$9064%69
BUY NoPutin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?1¢1,555$1664%69
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?25¢555$13964%69
BUY NoPutin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?0.9¢1,898$1764%69
BUY NoWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?7.1¢700$5064%69
BUY NoWill "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 17?8.9¢631$5664%69