PnL all-time−$611vol $230k
PnL 30d−$294gains $205 · losses $514
PnL 7d+$155win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate49.8%adj 49.8% · 30d 45.0%
Open value$1,275cash n/a
Positions6 / 252open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$512below peak −$866Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 49.8% · shrunk toward 50%24
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germanyclosed−$430Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$203Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yesclosed−$194Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$167Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yesclosed−$125
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 1,025 | 97.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $999 | −$1.02 | +$47 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 301 | 78.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $206 | −$29 | −$26 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 100 | 70.1¢ | 70.3¢ | $70 | +$0.20 | −$2.50 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | No | 100 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | −$0.03 | |
| France vs. England: O/U 3.5 | Under | 89 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.60 | |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 |
Recent trades
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