PnL all-time+$38vol $104k
PnL 30d−$68gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.98win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.9%adj 46.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,624cash n/a
Positions6 / 99open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$144below peak −$199Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23
Adjusted win rateraw 45.9% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026? · Yesclosed+$468Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? · Noopen+$410Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed+$293Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? · Noclosed+$224Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April? · Noclosed+$189
Worst markets
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? · Noclosed−$367Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5) · Evansville Acesclosed−$321Virginia Cavaliers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W) · Wake Forest Demon Deaconsclosed−$300Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? · Noclosed−$216Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yesopen−$199
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? | No | 749 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $749 | +$157 | $0 | |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | No | 662 | 38¢ | 100¢ | $662 | +$410 | $0 | |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 167 | 75¢ | 97.6¢ | $163 | +$38 | −$27 | |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 651 | 34.1¢ | 4.2¢ | $27 | −$195 | −$3.87 | |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 111 | 43¢ | 20.5¢ | $23 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | Yes | 253 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 |
Recent trades
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