sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,689

Astraeight

0x23c…9ae6
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+OtherCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$13.2kvol $308k
PnL 30d+$2,044gains $212 · losses $521
PnL 7d+$533win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.4%adj 75.3% · 30d 64.3%
Open value$17.7kcash n/a
Positions26 / 598open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.6%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.8kbelow peak −$216Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 76.4% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed+$3,107Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · Yesopen+$1,656Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed+$1,207Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed+$995Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? · Yesclosed+$921

Worst markets

Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva · Andreevaclosed−$730Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed−$690Bills vs. Broncos · Billsclosed−$578Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic · Djokovicclosed−$554Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed−$494

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes10.8k73.7¢89¢$9,646+$1,656$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No2,11583.4¢96.2¢$2,034+$271+$123
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes1,54391.9¢98.9¢$1,526+$107$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?No1,07883.1¢95.6¢$1,031+$135$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No68685.4¢96¢$659+$73$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31?No60286.1¢96.6¢$581+$63$0
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No39091¢97.5¢$380+$25$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?No36895¢99.1¢$364+$15+$4.79
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No34790.6¢99.2¢$344+$30$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?No37778.6¢78.5¢$296−$0.45$0
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes35381¢82.5¢$291+$5.23$0
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?No16291.9¢100¢$162+$13$0
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Yes18447.8¢51.5¢$95+$6.79$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?No14050.7¢55¢$77+$6.00$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?No7270.8¢77.5¢$56+$4.84$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?No5296¢96.1¢$50+$0.03$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?No4085¢75¢$30−$4.00$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No3081.3¢94.5¢$28+$3.95$0
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?No2692¢99¢$26+$1.81$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No665.4¢95.8¢$5.75+$1.82−$32
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?No691.8¢93.4¢$5.19+$0.09$0
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?No2042.5¢23¢$4.60−$3.90$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No560¢59.5¢$2.98−$0.03$0
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?Yes1566¢7.9¢$1.18−$8.72$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No1067.2¢4.5¢$0.45−$6.28−$10
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?No27739.2¢0¢$0−$109−$2.12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?56¢300$16876%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?91.9¢124$11476%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?94.2¢495$46676%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?58¢10$5.8076%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?91.8¢6$5.1076%81Sharp
SELL YesJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?10.3¢155$1676%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?70.8¢72$5176%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?86.3¢72$6276%81Sharp
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.6¢500$47876%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?82¢120$9976%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?80.5¢233$18876%81Sharp
BUY NoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?96¢52$5076%81Sharp
BUY NoWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?78.3¢155$12176%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?92¢150$13876%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?87.9¢10$8.7976%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?82.9¢4$3.4876%81Sharp
BUY YesWill October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?32¢20$6.4076%81Sharp
BUY YesWill October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?49.5¢84$4176%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?40¢167$6776%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?86¢15$1376%81Sharp